Guardians at Nationals

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
58.7%41.3%
Guardians WinNationals Win
4.76Projected Runs 3.86
9Final Score 1
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6

Pitching

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-23.721.266

Brad Lord (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-34.431.657

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 9-10 at Washington NationalsCLE: Luis Ortiz • WSN: Jake Irvin-113
W 5-4 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Tanner Bibee • TOR: Bowden Francis-104
W 5-3 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Gavin Williams • TOR: Kevin Gausman+137
L 3-5 at Toronto Blue JaysCLE: Logan Allen • TOR: Chris Bassitt+155
W 3-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Simeon Woods Richardson • CLE: Ben Lively+117
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 9-10 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Luis Ortiz • WSN: Jake Irvin+108
W 4-1 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • CIN: Nick Martinez-104
W 11-6 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Trevor Williams • CIN: Nick Lodolo+170
L 1-6 at Cincinnati RedsWSN: Mitchell Parker • CIN: Hunter Greene+180
W 4-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Brad Lord • PHI: Taijuan Walker+161

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • -Slade Cecconi15-day IL
  • PTanner BibeeQuestionable
  • PJohn Means60-day IL
  • CFLane Thomas10-day IL
  • PErik Sabrowski15-day IL
  • PTrevor Stephan60-day IL
  • PSam Hentges60-day IL
  • SSJuan Brito15-day IL
  • PShane Bieber15-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PDJ Herz60-day IL
  • PZach Brzykcy15-day IL
  • PCade Cavalli15-day IL
  • PMichael Soroka15-day IL
  • PDerek Law15-day IL
  • PJosiah Gray60-day IL
  • 3BAndres Chaparro10-day IL
  • SSPaul DeJong10-day IL
W 5 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)71°70°67°65°64°
Humidity51%52%58%63%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyCloudy
WindW 5 mphW 3 mphNNW 3 mphNE 3 mphWSW 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-115-104-122-111-106-111-104-105.7
Nationals+105-106+102+101-104+101+102+105.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-113-110-107-109-115-109-107-105.7
Nationals+103-105-105-106+105-101+105+105.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from -108 to -114
Nationals ML moved from +104 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 0.0%
Nationals: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Guardians ML
Nationals ML moved from +100 to -103

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+140-1½+147-1½+135-1½+143-1½+140-1½+143-1½+147-1½+151
Nationals+1½-160+1½-163+1½-160+1½-163+1½-160+1½-163+1½-160+1½-151
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians-1½+143-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+130-1½+145-1½+145-1½+151
Nationals+1½-163+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-150+1½-165+1½-150+1½-151

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-113o9½-108o9-115o9½-110o9½-110o9½-110o9-115o9½+100
Underu9-103u9½-108u9-105u9½-110u9½-110u9½-110u9½-108u9½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-115o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100
Underu9-105u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-103 to o9½-108
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9½-105
No Steam Moves On Under