Red Sox at Cubs

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(19-16)
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G3.5
52.4%47.6%
Red Sox WinCubs Win
4.11Projected Runs 3.85
4Final Score 2

Chicago Cubs

(21-15)
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G3.5
Rank11
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Connor Seabold (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-113.52.143

Keegan Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
97-33.341.158

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 1-3 at Chicago CubsBOS: Josh Winckowski • CHC: Alec Mills-141
L 5-6 at Chicago CubsBOS: Rich Hill • CHC: Adrian Sampson-134
W 6-5 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Nick Pivetta • TOR: Alek Manoah+153
L 5-6 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Michael Wacha • TOR: Ross Stripling+125
L 2-7 at Toronto Blue JaysBOS: Connor Seabold • TOR: Kevin Gausman+168
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Josh Winckowski • CHC: Alec Mills+146
W 5-6 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Rich Hill • CHC: Adrian Sampson+135
W 7-15 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-125
W 3-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele-132
L 5-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CHC: Keegan Thompson-112

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett WhitlockUnknown
  • PNathan EovaldiUnknown
  • CFEnrique Hernandez10-day IL
  • PRich HillQuestionable

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNick Madrigal10-day IL
  • PMarcus StromanUnknown
  • PDaniel NorrisUnknown
  • CFJason Heyward10-day IL
  • PAlec MillsUnknown
  • PWade MileyUnknown
ENE 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°82°82°82°
Humidity59%57%56%55%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindENE 7 mphENE 8 mphENE 8 mphENE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-120-110+102+100+100+102+102+104.4
Cubs+110-110-112-110-110-112-110-104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-120+104+100+102+108+103+108+104.4
Cubs+110-114-110-112-118-113-110-104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Cubs ML moved from -107 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 40.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Cubs ML moved from -105 to -112

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+130-1½+155-1½+158-1½+155-1½+158-1½+158-1½+158-1½+166
Cubs+1½-150+1½-180+1½-178+1½-175+1½-178+1½-178+1½-175+1½-166
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+130-1½+155-1½+156-1½+155-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+166
Cubs+1½-148+1½-175+1½-176+1½-175+1½-180+1½-185+1½-175+1½-166

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½+100
Underu8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½-105o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½+100
Underu8½+100u8½-110u8½-110u8½-115u8½-115u8½-110u8½-110u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115
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