Phillies at Twins

Updated
Rank8
R/G4.5
RA/G4.4
57.5%42.5%
Phillies WinTwins Win
4.41Projected Runs 3.61
9Final Score 1
Rank24
R/G4.6
RA/G5.0
Rank8
R/G4.5
RA/G4.4
Rank24
R/G4.6
RA/G5.0

Pitching

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2410-53.321.14

Connor Prielipp (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
163-54.791.32

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 7-1 vs Minnesota TwinsPHI: Aaron Nola • MIN: Taj Bradley-105
L 1-7 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Zack Wheeler • STL: Kyle Leahy-160
L 0-2 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Cristopher Sánchez • STL: Andre Pallante-153
W 6-5 at St. Louis CardinalsPHI: Andrew Painter • STL: Hunter Dobbins-112
W 6-7 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Shane Bieber • PHI: Jesús Luzardo-220
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • MIN: Taj Bradley-103
W 5-7 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Shane Baz • MIN: Zebby Matthews-105
L 5-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Brandon Young • MIN: Bailey Ober-110
W 5-9 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Trevor Rogers • MIN: Dean Kremer-105
L 3-4 at Milwaukee BrewersMIN: Connor Prielipp • MIL: Jacob Misiorowski+245

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PCaleb Kilian15-day IL
  • PBrad Keller60-day IL
  • CRafael Marchan10-day IL
  • PTanner Banks60-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PJoe Ryan15-day IL
  • PCole Sands60-day IL
  • PMike Paredes60-day IL
S 4 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°79°76°75°
Humidity77%80%88%90%
Precipitation18%32%45%49%
ConditionCloudyDrizzleDrizzleDrizzle
WindS 4 mphS 4 mphSSW 5 mphS 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-150-127-133-127-127-127-127-120.3
Twins+136+116+111+115+117+115+117+120.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-150-125-133-136-130--125-120.3
Twins+133+115+119+121+116-+121+120.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from -142 to -148
Twins ML moved from +120 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Twins ML moved from +125 to +116

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+120-1½+129-1½+130-1½+129-1½+125-1½+129-1½+130-1½+137
Twins+1½-140+1½-145+1½-150+1½-149+1½-145+1½-149+1½-145+1½-137
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies-1½+120-1½+130-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125--1½+130-1½+137
Twins+1½-140+1½-150+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145-+1½-140+1½-137

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-109o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-109o8-104
Underu8+100u8-103u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-103u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-115-o8-115o8-104
Underu8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105-u8-105u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under