Brewers at Pirates

Updated
Rank3
R/G5.7
RA/G4.0
57.9%42.1%
Brewers WinPirates Win
4.96Projected Runs 4.14
4Final Score 5
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
Rank3
R/G5.7
RA/G4.0
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-03.381.188

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-03.381.375

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 5-12 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Josh Lindblom • PIT: Derek Holland-160
L 2-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: Chad Kuhl-134
L 1-7 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • MIN: Jose Berrios-103
W 9-3 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Brett Anderson • MIN: Rich Hill+147
L 3-4 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Corbin Burnes • MIN: Kenta Maeda+145
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 5-12 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Josh Lindblom • PIT: Derek Holland+150
W 2-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: Chad Kuhl+130
L 2-0 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • PIT: Trevor Williams+240
L 6-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • PIT: Steven Brault+170
L 6-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • PIT: JT Brubaker+170

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • CFLorenzo CainOut for Season
  • PCorey Knebel10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL
  • PMichael FelizOut for Season
  • 1BJosh BellRest
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove10-day IL
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • PClay Holmes60-day IL
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
Dan Bellino
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-165-190-174-180-190-174-174-
Pirates+152+165+160+170+170+160+170-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-165--179-175-175-180-175-
Pirates+155-+162+160+155+165+165-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -185 to -195
Pirates ML moved from +166 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -174 to -180
Pirates ML moved from +162 to +154

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-105-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-1½-125-
Pirates+1½-115+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105+1½+105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-105--1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-
Pirates+1½-115-+1½+102+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+102-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o9-115o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-115o9-110-
Underu9-120u9-105u9-105u9-105u9-110u9-105u9-105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100-o9-105o9-105o9-110o9-115o9-105-
Underu9-120-u9-115u9-115u9-110u9-105u9-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-107 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u9-125