Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
49.4%50.6%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.71Projected Runs 3.76
9Final Score 4
Rank8
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank8
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Ranger Suarez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-33.021.08

Tanner Bibee (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
120-74.571.32

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 9-1 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Sonny Gray • CLE: Parker Messick+116
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Tyler Samaniego • CLE: Slade Cecconi+113
L 10-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • BOS: Payton Tolle+122
W 0-8 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • BOS: Connelly Early-107
L 7-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • BOS: Ranger Suarez-104
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 9-1 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Sonny Gray • CLE: Parker Messick-120
W 3-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tyler Samaniego • CLE: Slade Cecconi-118
W 2-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: PJ Poulin • CLE: Gavin Williams-164
L 6-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Cade Cavalli • CLE: Joey Cantillo-126
L 10-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: PJ Poulin • CLE: Tanner Bibee-155

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • CFCeddanne RafaelaRest
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasRest
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PErik Sabrowski15-day IL
  • 2BAngel MartinezRest
NE 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From RightVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)68°70°69°69°
Humidity45%43%44%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNE 6 mphN 8 mphN 10 mphN 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-105-101-107+103+101+103+103+107.7
Guardians-105-108-113-113-111-113-108-107.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-105-102-105-104+104+102+104+107.7
Guardians-105-108-107-111-114-112-107-107.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +100 to -101
Guardians ML moved from -101 to -108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +103 to -102
Guardians ML moved from -115 to -124

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+155-1½+166+1½-235-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+174
Guardians+1½-180+1½-189-1½+195+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+155+1½-220+1½-225+1½-220+1½-230+1½-220+1½-220-1½+174
Guardians+1½-175-1½+190-1½+195-1½+180-1½+190-1½+190-1½+195+1½-174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7+105o7+105o7-102o7+100o7-102o7+105o7+107
Underu7½-110u7-119u7-125u7-118u7-120u7-118u7-118u7-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7+100o7+100o7+100o7-105o7+100o7+100o7+107
Underu7½-110u7-120u7-120u7-120u7-115u7-120u7-115u7-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+105 to o7-105
The Under moved from u7-110 to u7-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+105 to o7-105
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-115