Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
43.2%56.8%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.00Projected Runs 3.71
9Final Score 1
Rank8
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank8
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-13.271.2

Parker Messick (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
116-12.241.04

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Tyler Samaniego • CLE: Slade Cecconi+113
L 10-2 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Chris Sale • BOS: Payton Tolle+122
W 0-8 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Bryce Elder • BOS: Connelly Early-107
L 7-6 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Spencer Strider • BOS: Ranger Suarez-104
L 6-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Bailey Ober • BOS: Sonny Gray-165
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tyler Samaniego • CLE: Slade Cecconi-118
W 2-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: PJ Poulin • CLE: Gavin Williams-164
L 6-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Cade Cavalli • CLE: Joey Cantillo-126
L 10-2 vs Washington NationalsWSN: PJ Poulin • CLE: Tanner Bibee-155
W 3-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesCLE: Parker Messick • PHI: Andrew Painter-112

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PPatrick Sandoval60-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PErik Sabrowski15-day IL
NE 16 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From RightModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)65°65°64°64°
Humidity49%49%49%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionWindyWindyClearClear
WindNE 16 mphNE 15 mphNE 14 mphNE 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+131+112+106+107+114+107+114+112.0
Guardians-145-122-126-118-124-118-118-112.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+116+110+115+116+116+112+116+112.0
Guardians-130-120-128-131-130-122-120-112.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +113 to +107
Guardians ML moved from -128 to -134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-200-1½+192+1½-230+1½-225+1½-225+1½-225+1½-200
Guardians-1½+174+1½-238-1½+190-1½+189-1½+185-1½+189-1½+200
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-200+1½-220+1½-235+1½-200+1½-210+1½-230+1½-200+1½-200
Guardians-1½+170-1½+190-1½+200-1½+170-1½+175-1½+195-1½+200-1½+200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o6-110o6-115o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6-110o6½+109
Underu7½-120u6-102u6-105u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-110o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+109
Underu7-110u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6+103 to u6-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½+100 to u6½-120