Reds at Brewers

Updated
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
35.9%64.1%
Reds WinBrewers Win
2.81Projected Runs 4.29
4Final Score 2
Rank4
R/G5.5
RA/G4.0
Rank17
R/G5.1
RA/G4.4
Rank4
R/G5.5
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Graham Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
135-24.121.332

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
218-52.490.946

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 7-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Nick Lodolo • MIL: Aaron Ashby+155
L 1-5 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Robert Dugger • MIL: Eric Lauer+213
L 0-3 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Mike Minor • MIA: Sandy Alcantara+197
W 2-1 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • MIA: Braxton Garrett+135
W 3-1 at Miami MarlinsCIN: Hunter Greene • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+107
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 7-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Nick Lodolo • MIL: Aaron Ashby-165
W 1-5 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Robert Dugger • MIL: Eric Lauer-219
L 4-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PIT: Zach Thompson-260
L 7-8 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Freddy Peralta • PIT: Tyler Beede-199
L 3-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Corbin Burnes • PIT: Bryse Wilson-270

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PHunter StricklandOut
  • PHunter GreeneUnknown
  • CTyler Stephenson10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan IndiaRest

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • 2BJace Peterson10-day IL
  • COmar Narvaez10-day IL
  • PTrevor RosenthalUnknown
  • DHAndrew McCutchenRest
  • PTrevor RogersUnknown
SW 10 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)78°79°80°80°
Humidity99%96%92%92%
Precipitation50%32%26%31%
ConditionRain and HumidPossible Light Rain and HumidPossible Light Rain and HumidRain and Humid
WindSW 10 mphSSW 11 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 8 mph
James Hoye
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+228+251+240+256+248+256+256+253.9
Brewers-255-291-300-288-288-288-288-253.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+227+250+242+250+245+250+250+253.9
Brewers-260-300-270-320-290-290-275-253.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Brewers ML moved from -276 to -289

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Brewers ML moved from -275 to -290

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½+105+1½+117+1½+120+1½+120+1½+120+1½+120+1½+120+1½+124
Brewers-1½-125-1½-133-1½-140-1½-140-1½-140-1½-140-1½-133-1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½+105+1½+115+1½+115+1½+120+1½+120+1½+120+1½+120+1½+124
Brewers-1½-125-1½-135-1½-133-1½-140-1½-140-1½-140-1½-133-1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½+102o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½+102o7½+109
Underu7½+100u7½-118u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-110o7½+100o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½+109
Underu7½-110u7½-120u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120