Cleveland at Chicago Cubs

Updated
52.2%
Projected Runs: 4.23
Final Score: 2

Aaron Civale (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
93-53.881.155
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 5-6 at Chicago CubsCLE: Carlos Carrasco • CHC: Yu Darvish+144
L 5-7 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Triston McKenzie • MIN: Michael Pineda+126
L 4-8 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Zach Plesac • MIN: Rich Hill-105
L 1-3 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Shane Bieber • MIN: Kenta Maeda-112
L 11-1 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brady Singer • CLE: Aaron Civale-220

Injuries

Status
  • PJefry Rodriguez45-day IL
  • 2BCesar HernandezRest
  • CRoberto PerezRest

Chicago Cubs

(31-22)
47.8%
Projected Runs: 4.00
Final Score: 3

Jon Lester (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-25.051.338
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • CHC: Yu Darvish-152
W 12-0 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Alec Mills • MIL: Adrian Houser+115
W 4-2 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Kyle Hendricks • MIL: Brent Suter-105
L 0-1 at Milwaukee BrewersCHC: Jon Lester • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+156
W 5-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Sonny Gray • CHC: Adbert Alzolay+115

Injuries

Status
  • PTyler Chatwood10-day IL
  • PAndrew Chafin10-day IL
  • PJose Quintana10-day IL
NW 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)75°72°70°68°
Humidity65%68%72%75%
Precipitation2%4%2%2%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNW 8 mphNW 9 mphNNW 10 mphNNE 11 mph
Chad Whitson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Home UmpireModerate Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Cleveland-110-117-122-114-120-114-114
Chicago Cubs+100+107+102+104+110+104+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Cleveland-120-120-115-116-115-114-114
Chicago Cubs+110+110+105+106+105+104+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 20.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cleveland: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland ML moved from -107 to -115
Chicago Cubs ML moved from +100 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cleveland: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cleveland: 20.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cleveland: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cleveland: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cleveland ML moved from -115 to -124
Chicago Cubs ML moved from +106 to -103

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Cleveland-1½+145-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135
Chicago Cubs+1½-165+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Cleveland-1½-110-1½+145-1½+136-1½+140-1½+140-1½+135-1½+145
Chicago Cubs+1½-110+1½-165+1½-155+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo7½-120o8½-110o8½-110o8½-102o8½+100o8½-102o8½+100
Underu7½+100u8½-110u8½-110u8½-118u8½-120u8½-118u8½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-110o8-115o8-122o8½+100o8½+100o8½-105o8-115
Underu8½-110u8-105u8+102u8½-120u8½-120u8½-115u8+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-105 to o8-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105