Padres at Brewers

Updated
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4
45.4%54.6%
Padres WinBrewers Win
3.32Projected Runs 3.81
7Final Score 1
Rank4
R/G5.5
RA/G4.0
Rank10
R/G4.8
RA/G4.4
Rank4
R/G5.5
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-42.470.863

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-31.790.62

Last 5 Games

San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 3-5 at Milwaukee BrewersSDP: Blake Snell • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+105
W 2-9 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Justin Dunn • SDP: Yu Darvish-270
W 4-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Justus Sheffield • SDP: Ryan Weathers-190
W 1-16 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Chris Flexen • SDP: Chris Paddack-204
W 0-3 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Chi Chi Gonzalez • SDP: Joe Musgrove-280
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 3-5 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Blake Snell • MIL: Brandon Woodruff-112
W 9-4 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Luis Castillo-114
W 4-3 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Brett Anderson • CIN: Sonny Gray+145
L 4-9 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Jeff Hoffman-125
L 4-6 at Kansas City RoyalsMIL: Corbin Burnes • KCR: Brad Keller-190

Injuries

San Diego Padres

Status
  • 3BManny MachadoUnknown
  • PDrew Pomeranz10-day IL
  • PKeone KelaOut for Season
  • CFTrent Grisham10-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PDylan File60-day IL
  • CFJackie Bradley Jr.Rest
SW 17 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)80°78°76°74°
Humidity64%66%72%74%
Precipitation3%3%6%6%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindSW 17 mphSW 17 mphSW 16 mphSW 17 mph
Fieldin Culbreth
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireLean Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres-105+114+108+113+113+113+114-
Brewers-105-126-128-123-123-123-123-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+110+115+115+114+119+115+119-
Brewers-120-125-126-124-129-125-124-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 10.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +122 to +116
Brewers ML moved from -124 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Padres: 20.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Padres: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Padres ML moved from +118 to +104
Brewers ML moved from -114 to -124

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-220+1½-210+1½-210+1½-206+1½-205+1½-205+1½-205-
Brewers-1½+180-1½+176-1½+175-1½+176-1½+175-1½+175-1½+176-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Padres+1½-220+1½-200+1½-208+1½-200+1½-190+1½-200+1½-190-
Brewers-1½+190-1½+175-1½+184-1½+175-1½+160-1½+175-1½+184-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-120o6½-125o6½-130o7-101o7-101o7-101o7-101-
Underu7+100u6½+105u6½+110u7-119u7-119u7-119u6½+110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-115o6½-125o7-105o7+100o7+105o7+100o7+105-
Underu7-105u6½+105u7-115u7-120u7-125u7-120u7-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7-120 to u7-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-125 to o6½-135
The Under moved from u6½+115 to u7-120