Orioles at Twins

Updated
Rank3
R/G5.8
RA/G4.3
35.9%64.1%
Orioles WinTwins Win
3.66Projected Runs 5.14
4Final Score 7
Rank15
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6
Rank3
R/G5.8
RA/G4.3
Rank15
R/G3.4
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Dean Kremer (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
80-46.351.588

Jose Berrios (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-23.911.105

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 3-8 at Minnesota TwinsBAL: John Means • MIN: Matt Shoemaker-106
L 5-6 at Washington NationalsBAL: Matt Harvey • WSN: Patrick Corbin+165
L 9-12 at Washington NationalsBAL: Bruce Zimmerman • WSN: Jon Lester+140
L 2-4 at Washington NationalsBAL: Jorge Lopez • WSN: Stephen Strasburg+180
L 10-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Rich Hill • BAL: Dean Kremer+145
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: John Means • MIN: Matt Shoemaker+101
W 8-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: J.A. Happ • CLE: Zach Plesac+129
L 3-5 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Kenta Maeda • CLE: Shane Bieber+152
W 10-0 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Randy Dobnak • CLE: Triston McKenzie+120
W 5-3 at Los Angeles AngelsMIN: Jose Berrios • LAA: Griffin Canning-115

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • CFAustin HaysUnknown
  • 1BChris DavisOut for Season
  • SSRichie MartinOut

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
  • PDevin Smeltzer10-day IL
  • PMichael Pineda10-day IL
  • RFMax KeplerUnknown
  • CFByron Buxton10-day IL
  • DHNelson CruzUnknown
  • CFJake Cave60-day IL
  • SSJorge PolancoUnknown
W 14 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)85°82°79°76°
Humidity25%27%32%38%
Precipitation1%1%1%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 14 mphW 13 mphSW 13 mphNW 13 mph
David Rackley
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireStrong Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+179+175+170+175+170+175+175-
Twins-195-195-200-190-190-190-190-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+180+170+167+170+174+171+174-
Twins-200-185-184-190-192-186-184-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +179 to +173
Twins ML moved from -200 to -210

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 20.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Twins: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 10.0%
Twins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +180 to +170
Twins ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-115+1½-123+1½-105+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115+1½-105-
Twins-1½-105-1½+102-1½-115-1½-105-1½-105-1½-105-1½+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-115+1½-105+1½-111+1½-115+1½-110+1½-110+1½-105-
Twins-1½-105-1½-115-1½-107-1½-105-1½-110-1½-110-1½-105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o9½-116o9½-120o9½-119o9½-119o9½-119o9½-116-
Underu8½+100u9½-104u9½+100u9½-101u9½-101u9½-101u9½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9½-120o9½-125o9½-120o10-110o9½-120o9½-120-
Underu9-100u9½+100u9½+105u9½+100u10-110u9½+100u9½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-119 to o9½-125
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-115 to o10-110
No Steam Moves On Under