Brewers at Pirates

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(16-8)
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
64.3%35.7%
Brewers WinPirates Win
5.57Projected Runs 4.07
5Final Score 12

Pittsburgh Pirates

(13-13)
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
Rank21
R/G4.2
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Josh Lindblom (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
41-06.621.528

Derek Holland (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-18.271.531

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 2-7 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: Chad Kuhl-134
L 1-7 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • MIN: Jose Berrios-103
W 9-3 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Brett Anderson • MIN: Rich Hill+147
L 3-4 at Minnesota TwinsMIL: Corbin Burnes • MIN: Kenta Maeda+145
W 6-5 at Chicago CubsMIL: Josh Lindblom • CHC: Jon Lester+112
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-7 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: Chad Kuhl+130
L 2-0 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Shane Bieber • PIT: Trevor Williams+240
L 6-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Aaron Civale • PIT: Steven Brault+170
L 6-3 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Carlos Carrasco • PIT: JT Brubaker+170
L 1-8 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Chad Kuhl • CIN: Sonny Gray+186

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PCorey Knebel10-day IL
  • 1BJustin SmoakRest
  • CFLorenzo CainOut for Season

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PYacksel Rios10-day IL
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove10-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • PClay Holmes60-day IL
  • SSKevin NewmanRest
  • CLuke Maile60-day IL
  • PMichael FelizOut for Season
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
ENE 2 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
From LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)91°90°89°88°
Humidity38%38%37%45%
Precipitation0%2%3%5%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindENE 2 mphE 2 mphSSE 3 mphSSE 4 mph
Angel Hernandez
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-175-175-169-165-180-169-165-
Pirates+161+150+156+155+160+156+160-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-160--165-159-160-160-160-
Pirates+150-+150+149+145+150+150-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -170 to -180
Pirates ML moved from +148 to +142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -152 to -159
Pirates ML moved from +150 to +143

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-110-1½-115-1½-119-1½-110-1½-115-1½-119-1½-110-
Pirates+1½-110+1½-105+1½-101+1½-110+1½-105+1½-101+1½-101-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½-110--1½-109-1½-105-1½-115-1½-105-1½-105-
Pirates+1½-110-+1½-109+1½-115+1½-105+1½-115+1½-105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105-
Underu9½-110u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110-o9½+100o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½+100-
Underu9½-110-u9½-120u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-110 to u9½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½+100 to o9½-105
The Under moved from u9½-114 to u9½-124
Diamondbacks at Giants
Marlins at Nationals