Brewers at Reds

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(16-8)
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
58.4%41.6%
Brewers WinReds Win
5.03Projected Runs 4.14
1Final Score 2

Cincinnati Reds

(14-11)
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3
Rank3
R/G5.3
RA/G3.8
Rank15
R/G5.1
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Freddy Peralta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
154-33.451.024

Nick Lodolo (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
174-73.91.267

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 10-2 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Corbin Burnes • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-205
W 5-3 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Luis Cessa-152
W 5-1 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Hunter Greene-159
W 0-6 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • MIL: Adrian Houser+125
L 7-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIL: Aaron Ashby+110
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 10-2 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+193
L 5-3 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Eric Lauer • CIN: Luis Cessa+148
L 5-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Hunter Greene+152
W 1-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Connor Seabold • CIN: Chase Anderson+136
L 5-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Brayan Bello • CIN: Nick Lodolo+113

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • COmar NarvaezRest
  • 1BRowdy TellezRest
  • CAlex Jackson60-day IL
  • LFJonathan Davis10-day IL
  • PFreddy PeraltaUnknown
  • 2BKolten WongRest

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PMike MinorUnknown
  • 3BMike MoustakasOut for Season
  • PJustin DunnUnknown
  • SSJose BarreroRest
  • PJeff Hoffman60-day IL
  • CFNick SenzelOut for Season
  • DHJake FraleyRest
WNW 14 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)73°74°75°75°
Humidity55%51%50%50%
Precipitation1%1%1%1%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindWNW 14 mphW 15 mphW 15 mphWNW 15 mph
Chris Guccione
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-145-145-150-143-143-143-143-139.1
Reds+134+135+126+132+131+132+135+139.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-142-150-148-155-150-146-146-139.1
Reds+132+140+135+130+138+136+140+139.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -145 to -155
Reds ML moved from +132 to +126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from -144 to -152
Reds ML moved from +140 to +132

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+120-1½+112-1½+110-1½+109-1½+109-1½+109-1½+112-1½+119
Reds+1½-140+1½-128+1½-130+1½-129+1½-129+1½-129+1½-128+1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers-1½+110-1½+110-1½+112-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+112-1½+119
Reds+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+100o8½-118o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o8½-118o8½-104
Underu8-120u8½+102u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+102u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-105o8½-115o8½-105o8½-104
Underu7½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½-115u8½-105u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-107 to o8½-117
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u7½-105

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u7½+105 to u8-120
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