Orioles at Red Sox

Updated
Rank23
R/G4.5
RA/G5.2
46.8%53.2%
Orioles WinRed Sox Win
4.95Projected Runs 5.29
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank23
R/G4.5
RA/G5.2
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Trevor Rogers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
102-66.841.56

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-55.631.64

Last 5 Games

Baltimore Orioles
Money Line
L 1-8 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Payton Tolle+137
W 4-2 at Boston Red SoxBAL: Shane Baz • BOS: Connelly Early+121
W 5-9 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Spencer Miles • BAL: Kyle Bradish-125
W 5-6 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Trey Yesavage • BAL: Brandon Young+117
L 6-5 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Adam Macko • BAL: Trevor Rogers-120
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 1-8 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Chris Bassitt • BOS: Payton Tolle-147
L 4-2 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Shane Baz • BOS: Connelly Early-129
W 9-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Ranger Suarez • CLE: Tanner Bibee+104
W 9-1 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Sonny Gray • CLE: Parker Messick+116
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Tyler Samaniego • CLE: Slade Cecconi+113

Injuries

Baltimore Orioles

Status
  • PYennier CanoOut
  • CFDylan Beavers10-day IL
  • PChris BassittQuestionable
  • PCade Povich15-day IL
  • 3BJordan Westburg60-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 1BNick Sogard10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock15-day IL
  • PKutter Crawford60-day IL
  • SSTrevor Story10-day IL
  • RFRoman Anthony10-day IL
SSW 5 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)88°88°88°88°
Humidity28%29%31%30%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearMostly Clear
WindSSW 5 mphSW 9 mphSW 9 mphSW 11 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+113+107+103+109+105+109+109+114.0
Red Sox-125-118-123-120-115-120-115-114.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+106+101+106+107+108+108+108+114.0
Red Sox-116-111-118-122-118-118-111-114.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +100 to -101
Red Sox ML moved from -122 to -131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Orioles: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Orioles: 0.0%
Red Sox: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Orioles ML moved from +110 to +101
No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles-1½+150-1½+154+1½-185+1½-177+1½-180+1½-177+1½-163
Red Sox+1½-175+1½-185-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+163
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Orioles+1½-170+1½-185+1½-185+1½-180+1½-185+1½-180+1½-180+1½-163
Red Sox-1½+150-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+163

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o10½-101o10½-110o10½-112o10½-120o10½-112o10½-101o10½-102
Underu10-110u10½-111u10½-110u10½-108u10½+100u10½-108u10½+100u10½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-110o10½-102
Underu10-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½-110u10½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-113 to o10½-120
The Under moved from u10½-109 to u10½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½+100 to o10½-110
The Under moved from u10½-120 to u10½-125