Mets at Braves

Updated

New York Mets

(18-18)
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
41.0%59.0%
Mets WinBraves Win
4.43Projected Runs 5.37
5Final Score 6

Atlanta Braves

(21-12)
Rank2
R/G5.1
RA/G4.0
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G4.3
Rank2
R/G5.1
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Adrian Houser (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-01.81.2

Reynaldo Lopez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

New York Mets
Money Line
W 8-7 at Atlanta BravesNYM: Julio Teheran • ATL: Charlie Morton+201
W 3-1 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: Sean Manaea • CIN: Andrew Abbott-111
L 6-9 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: Luis Severino • CIN: Nick Martinez+115
W 3-2 at Cincinnati RedsNYM: José Quintana • CIN: Hunter Greene+124
W 1-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matt Manning • NYM: José Butto-118
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
L 8-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Julio Teheran • ATL: Charlie Morton-215
W 2-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Ryne Nelson • ATL: Chris Sale-234
W 8-9 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Brandon Pfaadt • ATL: Max Fried-190
W 5-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Tommy Henry • ATL: Spencer Strider-290
L 2-3 at Chicago White SoxATL: Reynaldo Lopez • CHW: Garrett Crochet-175

Injuries

New York Mets

Status
  • PSean Reid-Foley15-day IL
  • PMax Kranick15-day IL
  • PTylor Megill15-day IL
  • DHJ.D. MartinezOut
  • PKodai Senga15-day IL

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • PSpencer Strider15-day IL
  • -Angel Perdomo15-day IL
  • CSean Murphy10-day IL
SE 7 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)63°62°63°63°
Humidity87%88%88%87%
Precipitation19%23%27%21%
ConditionCloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSE 7 mphSE 7 mphSE 6 mphESE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+165+161+153+167+165+167+167+172.7
Braves-180-175-185-183-175-183-175-172.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+172+165+170+175+172+165+175+172.7
Braves-190-180-188-190-190-180-180-172.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +161 to +154
Braves ML moved from -186 to -192

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Mets: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mets: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Mets: 0.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Mets: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mets: 40.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mets ML moved from +169 to +163
Braves ML moved from -190 to -200

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-125+1½-128+1½-130+1½-128+1½-130+1½-128+1½-128+1½-117
Braves-1½+105-1½+112-1½+110-1½+108-1½+110-1½+108-1½+112-1½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mets+1½-125+1½-130+1½-128+1½-115+1½-120+1½-130+1½-115+1½-117
Braves-1½+105-1½+110-1½+110-1½-105-1½+100-1½+110-1½+110-1½+117

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-115o9-123o9-115o9½+108o9½+105o9½+108o9-115o9½+117
Underu10-105u9+107u9-105u9½-128u9½-125u9½-128u9+107u9½-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-105o9½-115o9½-105o9½-105o9½+117
Underu10-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-115u9½-105u9½-115u9½-105u9½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10+102 to o9½-118
The Under moved from u9½-103 to u9½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-110 to o9½-115
The Under moved from u9½+100 to u9½-110
Mariners at Blue Jays
Astros at Royals