Red Sox at Guardians

Updated
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
46.0%54.0%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
3.04Projected Runs 3.47
4Final Score 5
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Tanner Houck (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-27.661.662

Ben Lively (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-23.861.247

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryan Woo • BOS: Garrett Crochet-170
L 8-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • BOS: Sean Newcomb-130
W 3-8 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • BOS: Brayan Bello-113
W 2-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Jonathan Cannon • BOS: Walker Buehler-290
L 8-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Sean Burke • BOS: Tanner Houck-275
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 5-1 vs New York YankeesNYY: Carlos Rodon • CLE: Luis Ortiz+153
W 2-3 vs New York YankeesNYY: Will Warren • CLE: Tanner Bibee-110
W 4-6 vs New York YankeesNYY: Clarke Schmidt • CLE: Gavin Williams+116
W 5-4 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Logan Allen • PIT: Mitch Keller+112
W 3-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCLE: Ben Lively • PIT: Paul Skenes+155

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PLucas Giolito10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • -Slade Cecconi15-day IL
  • PJohn Means60-day IL
NW 13 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
WindO/U Effect
From LeftHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)47°47°48°48°
Humidity78%76%72%72%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyWindyCloudyCloudy
WindNW 13 mphNNW 15 mphNW 15 mphNW 14 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-107-108--108-113-108-108-102.8
Guardians-103-102--102+103-102+103+102.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-107-105-107-108-105-108-105-102.8
Guardians-105-110-105-107-105-102-102+102.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from -101 to -107
Guardians ML moved from +101 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Red Sox ML
Guardians ML moved from -102 to -108

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+155-1½+157--1½+153-1½+155-1½+153-1½+157-1½+161
Guardians+1½-177+1½-173-+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-173+1½-161
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+160-1½+161
Guardians+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o7½-113-o7½-102o7½-115o7½-102o7½-102o7½+107
Underu8½-110u7½-103-u7½-118u7½-105u7½-118u7½-103u7½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-110o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o7½+107
Underu7½+100u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-110u7½-110u7½-105u7½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½+100 to u7½-110