Royals at Guardians

Updated

Kansas City Royals

(12-7)
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G2.7
33.1%66.9%
Royals WinGuardians Win
4.06Projected Runs 5.80
8Final Score 6

Cleveland Guardians

(12-6)
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4
Rank23
R/G4.8
RA/G2.7
Rank16
R/G5.4
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Jakob Junis (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
40-14.321.44

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
32-01.690.75

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 2-5 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Brad Keller • CLE: Zach Plesac+195
L 8-2 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • KCR: Matt Harvey+200
L 5-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • KCR: Kris Bubic+205
L 7-4 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dane Dunning • KCR: Brady Singer+152
L 11-6 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • KCR: Danny Duffy+130
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 2-5 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brad Keller • CLE: Zach Plesac-210
W 1-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brett Anderson • CLE: Shane Bieber-260
W 3-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CLE: Aaron Civale-110
L 7-1 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Corbin Burnes • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-140
W 5-0 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Triston McKenzie • KCR: Jakob Junis-157

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PIan Kennedy10-day IL
  • CSalvador Perez10-day IL
  • 1BRyan O'HearnRest
  • CFFranchy Cordero45-day IL
  • RFJorge Soler10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • 3BJose RamirezDoubtful
  • CRoberto PerezRest
  • CFDelino DeShieldsUnknown
  • CFOscar MercadoRest
S 5 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)84°82°78°77°
Humidity59%66%73%76%
Precipitation4%6%6%6%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 5 mphE 7 mphENE 7 mphENE 6 mph
Mark Carlson
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+200+175+179+183+190+179+190-
Guardians-220-205-195-195-220-195-195-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+200-+181+185+185+185+185-
Guardians-220--200-210-210-205-200-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +185 to +175
Guardians ML moved from -210 to -220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Royals: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +200 to +190
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-105+1½-105+1½-111+1½-110+1½-110+1½-111+1½-105-
Guardians-1½-115-1½-115-1½-109-1½-110-1½-110-1½-109-1½-109-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½+100-+1½-113+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110+1½-110-
Guardians-1½-120--1½-105-1½-110-1½-110-1½-110-1½-105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o8½-110o8½-104o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104o8½-104-
Underu8½+105u8½-110u8½-116u8½-105u8½-110u8½-116u8½-105-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115-o8½-105o8½-110o8½-115o8½-105o8½-105-
Underu8½-105-u8½-115u8½-110u8½-105u8½-115u8½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-115 to o9-105
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-115
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