Pirates at Brewers

Updated
Rank12
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
44.5%55.5%
Pirates WinBrewers Win
3.59Projected Runs 4.16
2Final Score 5
Rank2
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8
Rank12
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank2
R/G5.0
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Braxton Ashcraft (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2211-43.961.16

Dustin May (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
215-74.381.28

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Paul Skenes • MIL: Kyle Harrison+115
L 2-4 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Jared Jones • MIL: Kyle Harrison+131
W 4-3 at Milwaukee BrewersPIT: Bubba Chandler • MIL: Brandon Sproat+135
L 2-10 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Mitch Keller • CIN: Chase Burns+124
W 4-1 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Braxton Ashcraft • CIN: Andrew Abbott-112
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • MIL: Kyle Harrison-125
W 2-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Jared Jones • MIL: Kyle Harrison-140
L 4-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Bubba Chandler • MIL: Brandon Sproat-145
L 0-3 at Los Angeles AngelsMIL: Jacob Misiorowski • LAA: Walbert Ureña-218
W 3-1 at Los Angeles AngelsMIL: Robert Gasser • LAA: Brent Suter-145

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • DHRyan O'Hearn10-day IL
  • PMitch Keller60-day IL
  • CFOneil Cruz60-day IL
  • SSKonnor Griffin60-day IL

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • PJoJo Romero15-day IL
  • PRob Zastryzny60-day IL
  • 1BJake BauersRest
  • RFSal Frelick10-day IL
SE 6 mph
American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
WindO/U Effect
InSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)77°78°80°80°
Humidity75%70%67%68%
Precipitation5%3%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindSE 6 mphESE 7 mphESE 8 mphSE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+122+114+108+109+107+109+114+114.0
Brewers-135-125-130-120-117-120-117-114.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+120+110+109+104+109-+110+114.0
Brewers-135-120-121-119-119--119-114.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +117 to +109
Brewers ML moved from -125 to -131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +115 to +105
No Steam Moves On Brewers ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-177+1½-189+1½-200+1½-200+1½-210+1½-200+1½-189+1½-183
Brewers-1½+155-1½+168-1½+170-1½+174-1½+175-1½+174-1½+175-1½+183
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-200+1½-190+1½-195+1½-200+1½-210-+1½-190+1½-183
Brewers-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+170-1½+175--1½+175-1½+183

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½+105o7½+105o7½-102o7½+100o7½-102o7½+105o7½+107
Underu7½+100u7½-120u7½-125u7½-118u7½-120u7½-118u7½-118u7½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105-o7½+100o7½+107
Underu7½+100u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115-u7½-115u7½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-108 to o7½-116
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115