Reds at Pirates

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(9-9)
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
62.3%37.7%
Reds WinPirates Win
5.07Projected Runs 3.77
2Final Score 9

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-8)
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Luis Castillo (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
328-164.051.355

Wil Crowe (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
244-85.771.627

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-6 at Chicago White SoxCIN: Sonny Gray • CHW: Carlos Rodon+170
L 1-7 at Chicago White SoxCIN: Riley O'Brien • CHW: Reynaldo Lopez+165
W 1-13 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Connor Overton • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin-165
W 2-9 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • CIN: Tyler Mahle-174
W 6-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Erick Fedde • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez-117
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 9-0 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Justin Steele • PIT: Miguel Yajure+101
L 3-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Roansy Contreras+112
W 6-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • PIT: Mitch Keller-104
L 1-13 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Connor Overton • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin+161
W 6-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Max Kranick • PHI: Hans Crouse+210

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • CFTyler NaquinOut for Season
  • PLuis CastilloUnknown
  • PWade Miley10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • CJacob StallingsRest
  • PLuis Oviedo10-day IL
  • PDillon Peters60-day IL
  • CFBryan ReynoldsRest
  • PConnor Overton10-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan Hayes10-day IL
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
W 2 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)70°66°64°64°
Humidity48%54%57%66%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindW 2 mphENE 2 mphENE 2 mphESE 2 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-165-200-191-195-191-191-191-173.6
Pirates+152+165+175+182+171+175+182+173.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-164-200-192-195-195-190-190-173.6
Pirates+154+180+174+175+176+175+180+173.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -185 to -191
Pirates ML moved from +172 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from -190 to -200
Pirates ML moved from +184 to +174

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½-104-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-120-1½-104
Pirates+1½-116+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+100+1½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½-115-1½-120-1½-115-1½-120-1½-120-1½-125-1½-115-1½-104
Pirates+1½-105+1½+100+1½-103+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105+1½+105+1½+104

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-110o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110o8+106
Underu8½-110u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-105u8-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8-115o8-110o8-115o8-115o8-115o8-110o8+106
Underu8½-110u8-105u8-110u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-105u8-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-113 to u8½-125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110
Padres at Dodgers
Rays at Yankees