Cubs at Pirates

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(11-7)
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
49.7%50.3%
Cubs WinPirates Win
4.59Projected Runs 4.62
6Final Score 8

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-8)
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank7
R/G5.6
RA/G4.8
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
186-74.831.418

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
215-115.961.751

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 4-2 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jake Woodford • CHC: Keegan Thompson+137
L 8-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jon Lester • CHC: Adrian Sampson+133
L 12-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • CHC: Zach Davies+169
L 8-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: J.A. Happ • CHC: Justin Steele+132
L 5-4 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • CHC: Kyle Hendricks+102
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-13 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Connor Overton • CIN: Reiver Sanmartin+161
W 6-0 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Max Kranick • PHI: Hans Crouse+210
L 0-3 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Wil Crowe • PHI: Ranger Suarez+240
L 6-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Sam Howard • PHI: Kyle Gibson+201
L 6-12 at Philadelphia PhilliesPIT: Connor Overton • PHI: Aaron Nola+240

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CRobinson Chirinos10-day IL
  • CWillson ContrerasRest
  • 3BPatrick WisdomUnknown
  • CFMichael Hermosillo60-day IL
  • 1BAlfonso Rivas10-day IL
  • RFJason HeywardOut for Season
  • SSNico HoernerUnknown
  • PKeegan ThompsonOut for Season
  • PManuel Rodriguez10-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesRest
  • CJacob StallingsUnknown
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
  • PBryse Wilson60-day IL
  • PLuis Oviedo10-day IL
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL
  • PSteven Brault60-day IL
  • PDuane Underwood60-day IL
  • PDillon Peters10-day IL
NNW 8 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)74°69°65°65°
Humidity66%72%76%70%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearClearClear
WindNNW 8 mphN 7 mphN 6 mphN 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+105-107-106-105-106-106-105+100.9
Pirates-115-113-104-105-104-104-104-100.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+100-106-102-105-102-105-102+100.9
Pirates-110-104-108-105-108-105-104-100.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +102 to -105
Pirates ML moved from +100 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +100 to -102
Pirates ML moved from -103 to -110

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-205+1½-220+1½-210+1½-205+1½-210+1½-210+1½-205+1½-192
Pirates-1½+175-1½+180-1½+180-1½+172-1½+180-1½+180-1½+180-1½+192
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs+1½-204+1½-210+1½-205+1½-215+1½-210+1½-200+1½-200+1½-192
Pirates-1½+180-1½+180-1½+181-1½+185-1½+180-1½+175-1½+185-1½+192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-115o8½-114o8½-120o8½-114o8½-114o8½-114o8½+102
Underu9-115u8½-105u8½-106u8½+100u8½-106u8½-106u8½+100u8½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-115o8½-112o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-112o8½+102
Underu9-120u8½-105u8½-108u8½-100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-115 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-110
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