Reds at Guardians

Updated
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
51.1%48.9%
Reds WinGuardians Win
3.84Projected Runs 3.72
3Final Score 0
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank12
R/G5.3
RA/G3.4

Pitching

Wade Miley (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-22.670.963

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-34.781.188

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • CIN: Sonny Gray-125
L 9-0 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dylan Cease • CIN: Jeff Hoffman-110
W 12-13 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Trevor Williams • CIN: Tyler Mahle-158
L 3-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • CIN: Luis Castillo-155
W 6-8 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jake Arrieta • CIN: Wade Miley-118
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
W 4-0 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Triston McKenzie • KCR: Danny Duffy+125
W 5-4 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Shane Bieber • KCR: Brady Singer-154
W 7-3 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Phil Maton • KCR: Mike Minor+129
W 8-6 at Kansas City RoyalsCLE: Aaron Civale • KCR: Daniel Lynch-112
W 5-0 at Chicago White SoxCLE: Zach Plesac • CHW: Lucas Giolito+150

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • RFNicholas CastellanosQuestionable
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino60-day IL
  • PMichael Lorenzen60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PNick WittgrenOut
  • CRoberto Perez10-day IL
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+110+126+125+130+131+130+131-
Guardians-120-140-145-141-141-141-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+122+130+129+135+130+133+135-
Guardians-133-140-141-145-145-143-140-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +137 to +130
Guardians ML moved from -140 to -147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +140 to +130
Guardians ML moved from -139 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165-
Guardians-1½+145-1½+148-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+148-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-170+1½-160+1½-175+1½-170+1½-160+1½-165+1½-160-
Guardians-1½+150-1½+140-1½+155-1½+150-1½+140-1½+145-1½+155-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-120o8-117o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-120o8-117-
Underu8½+100u8-103u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100u8+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8-115o8-110o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110-
Underu8½-105u8-105u8-110u8-105u8-110u8-110u8-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8½-113 to u8½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110