Nationals at Marlins

Updated

Washington Nationals

(62-71)
Rank24
R/G5.2
RA/G5.1
43.7%56.3%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.87Projected Runs 4.54
2Final Score 3

Miami Marlins

(67-65)
Rank12
R/G4.4
RA/G4.2
Rank24
R/G5.2
RA/G5.1
Rank12
R/G4.4
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Brad Lord (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
35-24.041.25

Ryan Gusto (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
110-34.71.32

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 0-2 at Texas RangersWSN: Andrew Alvarez • TEX: Jacob deGrom+164
W 6-0 at Texas RangersWSN: Cade Cavalli • TEX: Jacob deGrom+111
L 0-5 at Texas RangersWSN: Jackson Kent • TEX: Cal Quantrill+131
L 3-4 at New York MetsWSN: Jake Irvin • NYM: Christian Scott+152
L 4-5 at New York MetsWSN: Brad Lord • NYM: Sean Manaea+123
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 1-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Sandy Alcantara • PHI: Aaron Nola+135
L 4-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Cade Gibson • PHI: Zack Wheeler+195
L 5-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesMIA: Janson Junk • PHI: Cristopher Sánchez+225
W 7-1 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Eury Pérez • CIN: Nick Lodolo-115
W 8-4 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Ryan Gusto • CIN: Brady Singer-101

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFJames Wood10-day IL
  • PMitchell ParkerOut
  • SSCJ AbramsRest
  • PPJ Poulin60-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PWilliam Kempner60-day IL
  • LFKyle Stowers10-day IL
LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+118+134+126+129+133+131+134+136.7
Marlins-130-149-150-142-143-145-143-136.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+129+130+138+126+125-+138+136.7
Marlins-145-140-148-141-140--140-136.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +132 to +125
Marlins ML moved from -152 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nationals: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Marlins ML moved from -141 to -147

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-175+1½-164+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-164+1½-153
Marlins-1½+150-1½+146-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+146-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-165+1½-170+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165-+1½-160+1½-153
Marlins-1½+145-1½+150-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145--1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o7½-111o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-111o7½-109
Underu8½-105u7½-101u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120-o7½-120o7½-109
Underu8½-120u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100-u7½+100u7½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-115 to o7½-125
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-120
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