Twins at Astros

Updated
Rank11
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
41.3%58.7%
Twins WinAstros Win
3.42Projected Runs 4.34
8Final Score 2
Rank3
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank11
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0
Rank3
R/G0.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Louie Varland (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
62-14.241.235

Hunter Brown (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-13.121.197

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
L 1-5 at Houston AstrosMIN: Joe Ryan • HOU: Brandon Bielak-102
W 7-5 at Houston AstrosMIN: Sonny Gray • HOU: J.P. France+114
L 3-0 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: José Berríos • MIN: Bailey Ober+103
W 7-9 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Chris Bassitt • MIN: Pablo Lopez-106
L 3-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Kevin Gausman • MIN: Louie Varland+135
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Joe Ryan • HOU: Brandon Bielak-104
L 7-5 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • HOU: J.P. France-120
W 10-1 at Oakland AthleticsHOU: Cristian Javier • OAK: Ken Waldichuk-262
W 6-3 at Oakland AthleticsHOU: Framber Valdez • OAK: Austin Pruitt-305
W 5-2 at Oakland AthleticsHOU: Hunter Brown • OAK: James Kaprielian-270

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • DHByron BuxtonRest
  • PKenta MaedaUnknown
  • PJorge AlcalaUnknown
  • CChristian VazquezRest
  • LFNick Gordon10-day IL
  • SSCarlos CorreaRest
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • PCaleb ThielbarUnknown
  • LFTrevor Larnach10-day IL
  • PTyler Mahle60-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • PLuis GarciaUnknown
  • 2BJose AltuveRest
  • LFCorey JulksRest
SE 7 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)82°81°80°79°
Humidity58%61%64%67%
Precipitation32%30%0%0%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsClearClear
WindSE 7 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 6 mphSSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+148+166+159+166-+166+166+171.3
Astros-161-180-194-181--181-180-171.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+143+162+168+150+168+160+168+171.3
Astros-170-177-185-178-185-190-177-171.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +148 to +141
Astros ML moved from -180 to -186

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 20.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +156 to +150
Astros ML moved from -162 to -170

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-140+1½-128+1½-130+1½-130-+1½-130+1½-128+1½-119
Astros-1½+120-1½+112-1½+110-1½+110--1½+110-1½+112-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins+1½-140+1½-140+1½-130+1½-130+1½-120+1½-140+1½-120+1½-119
Astros-1½+120-1½+120-1½+112-1½+110-1½+100-1½+120-1½+120-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o7½-113o7½-110o7½-118-o7½-118o7½-110o7½-107
Underu8½-120u7½-103u7½-110u7½-102-u7½-102u7½-102u7½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-100o7½-110o7½-110o7½-110o8-105o7½-110o7½-110o7½-107
Underu8½-120u7½-110u7½-110u7½-110u8-115u7½-110u8-115u7½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-114 to o7½-121
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+110 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8+100 to u7½-110