Reds at Red Sox

Updated

Cincinnati Reds

(14-10)
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
38.6%61.4%
Reds WinRed Sox Win
4.58Projected Runs 5.78
5Final Score 4

Boston Red Sox

(14-11)
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6
Rank14
R/G5.3
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G4.5
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Luke Weaver (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-25.451.368

James Paxton (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-15.141.357

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 9-8 at Boston Red SoxCIN: Ben Lively • BOS: Brayan Bello+155
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Graham Ashcraft • CHC: Drew Smyly+153
W 8-5 at Chicago CubsCIN: Brandon Williamson • CHC: Jameson Taillon+153
W 9-0 at Chicago CubsCIN: Hunter Greene • CHC: Justin Steele+133
L 2-1 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Miles Mikolas • CIN: Luke Weaver+115
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 9-8 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Ben Lively • BOS: Brayan Bello-170
L 2-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Tanner Houck • ARI: Merrill Kelly+117
W 2-1 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Garrett Whitlock • ARI: Zach Davies-106
W 7-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksBOS: Chris Sale • ARI: Brandon Pfaadt-117
L 3-7 at Los Angeles AngelsBOS: James Paxton • LAA: Tyler Anderson-105

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PDerek LawUnknown
  • PCasey LeguminaUnknown
  • PConnor OvertonOut for Season
  • PReiver Sanmartin60-day IL
  • PNick LodoloUnknown
  • LFT.J. FriedlDoubtful
  • DHJake FraleyRest
  • 1BWil Myers10-day IL
  • CFNick SenzelUnknown
  • LFStuart FairchildRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PCorey KluberOut
  • PJohn SchreiberUnknown
  • 2BChristian Arroyo10-day IL
  • RFAlex VerdugoUnknown
  • CReese McGuireRest
  • 1BTriston CasasRest
S 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterHigh on Over
 
Temp (°F)76°72°69°66°
Humidity41%47%52%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 8 mphSSW 8 mphSSW 9 mphSSW 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+175+144+141+147-+147+147+151.6
Red Sox-191-154-170-159--159-154-151.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+170+147+144+143+147+132+147+151.6
Red Sox-205-157-158-170-161-154-154-151.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +154 to +148
Red Sox ML moved from -162 to -170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Reds: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +141 to +132
Red Sox ML moved from -155 to -164

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-115+1½-128+1½-125+1½-127-+1½-127+1½-125+1½-116
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+112-1½+105-1½+107--1½+107-1½+112-1½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-115+1½-130+1½-133+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-116
Red Sox-1½-105-1½+110-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-1½+116

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-120o10½-118o10½-120o10½-124-o10½-124o10½-118o10½-113
Underu9½+100u10½+102u10½+100u10½+104-u10½+104u10½+104u10½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo10-105o10½-125o10½-120o10½-120o10½-125o10½-125o10½-120o10½-113
Underu10-115u10½+105u10½+100u10½+100u10½+105u10½+105u10½+105u10½+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-115 to o10½-123
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o10½-105 to o10½-115
The Under moved from u10½+100 to u10½-110
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