Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
45.7%54.3%
Reds WinPirates Win
3.92Projected Runs 4.38
0Final Score 1
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank18
R/G5.3
RA/G4.7
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-57.621.808

Jose Quintana (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-12.71.2

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 1-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Zach Thompson-119
W 8-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller+100
W 4-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Connor Overton • PIT: JT Brubaker+128
W 11-14 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+181
L 5-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Hunter Greene+183
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • PIT: Zach Thompson+119
L 8-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • PIT: Mitch Keller-105
L 4-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Connor Overton • PIT: JT Brubaker-131
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Ryan Pepiot • PIT: Dillon Peters+177
L 11-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • PIT: Bryse Wilson+213

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • SSKyle FarmerRest
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • CTyler StephensonRest

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 2BMichael ChavisRest
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • CRoberto Perez60-day IL
NNW 3 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)79°81°79°78°
Humidity55%50%54%66%
Precipitation3%2%2%3%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNNW 3 mphWNW 3 mphSSW 6 mphWNW 7 mph
Alfonso Marquez
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+115+126+136+135+135+136+136+138.0
Pirates-125-150-147-145-147-147-145-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+110+140+139+138+138+134+140+138.0
Pirates-120-150-152-148-150-144-144-138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +115 to +105
Pirates ML moved from -133 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 30.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Reds ML
Pirates ML moved from -137 to -143

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-175+1½-160+1½-156+1½-170+1½-156+1½-156+1½-156+1½-154
Pirates-1½+155-1½+135-1½+136-1½+150-1½+136-1½+136-1½+150-1½+154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds+1½-170+1½-155+1½-154+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-154+1½-154
Pirates-1½+150-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8½-115o8½-117o8½-115o8½-117o8½-117o8½-115o8½-104
Underu8½-110u8½-105u8½-103u8½-105u8½-103u8½-103u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-104
Underu8½-115u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-110