Reds at Pirates

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.2
RA/G5.2
53.0%47.0%
Reds WinPirates Win
4.27Projected Runs 3.96
8Final Score 2
Rank29
R/G3.6
RA/G5.0
Rank25
R/G4.2
RA/G5.2
Rank29
R/G3.6
RA/G5.0

Pitching

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
71-46.461.565

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
60-46.111.536

Last 5 Games

Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 4-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesCIN: Connor Overton • PIT: JT Brubaker+128
W 11-14 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez+181
L 5-4 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CIN: Hunter Greene+183
W 5-10 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • CIN: Luis Castillo+161
W 3-7 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Zach Thompson • CIN: Tyler Mahle-133
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Connor Overton • PIT: JT Brubaker-131
W 3-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Ryan Pepiot • PIT: Dillon Peters+177
L 11-1 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Tony Gonsolin • PIT: Bryse Wilson+213
W 1-5 vs Los Angeles DodgersLAD: Julio Urias • PIT: Jose Quintana+213
L 3-7 at Cincinnati RedsPIT: Zach Thompson • CIN: Tyler Mahle+127

Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFNick Senzel10-day IL
  • 2BJonathan India10-day IL
  • DHJake Fraley10-day IL
  • PNick LodoloOut
  • PLucas SimsUnknown
  • 1BJoey Votto10-day IL
  • -Daniel Duarte60-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • RFAnthony AlfordRest
  • CFJake Marisnick10-day IL
  • PAnthony Banda10-day IL
  • DHYoshitomo TsutsugoRest
  • CRoberto Perez60-day IL
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
E 10 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)76°73°72°72°
Humidity61%66%67%75%
Precipitation10%6%4%3%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClearClear
WindE 10 mphE 10 mphESE 8 mphESE 8 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-105-110-102-102-102-107-102+100.0
Pirates-105-110-108-108-108-103-103+100.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-110-105+100-105-105-103+100+100.0
Pirates+100-105-110-105-105-107-105+100.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +100 to -103
Pirates ML moved from -104 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Reds: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reds: 20.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reds ML moved from +100 to -105
Pirates ML moved from -101 to -110

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+150-1½+150-1½+158-1½+158-1½+158-1½+145-1½+158-1½+161
Pirates+1½-170+1½-175+1½-178+1½-178+1½-178+1½-165+1½-165+1½-161
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reds-1½+140-1½+150-1½+160-1½+150-1½+155-1½+145-1½+160-1½+161
Pirates+1½-160+1½-170+1½-180+1½-170+1½-175+1½-165+1½-165+1½-161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-125o8-115o8-107o8-107o8-107o8-110o8-107o8+100
Underu7+105u8-105u8-113u8-113u8-113u8-110u8-105u8+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o8-105o8-110o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-105o8+100
Underu8-115u8-115u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-115
The Under moved from u8-117 to u8-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-115