Cubs at Nationals

Updated

Chicago Cubs

(10-6)
Rank7
R/G5.3
RA/G4.4
45.7%54.3%
Cubs WinNationals Win
3.88Projected Runs 4.34
3Final Score 4

Washington Nationals

(7-9)
Rank26
R/G3.9
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G5.3
RA/G4.4
Rank26
R/G3.9
RA/G4.6

Pitching

Jake Arrieta (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
175-96.31.641

Paolo Espino (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
72-23.211.054

Last 5 Games

Chicago Cubs
Money Line
L 7-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Luis Castillo • CHC: Alec Mills+125
L 8-2 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Tyler Mahle • CHC: Zach Davies+102
L 7-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Vladimir Gutierrez • CHC: Adbert Alzolay-160
W 5-6 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Wade Miley • CHC: Kyle Hendricks-130
W 1-5 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Caleb Smith • CHC: Trevor Williams-175
Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 8-11 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Patrick Corbin • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez+133
W 3-1 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Max Scherzer • PHI: Zack Wheeler+142
W 6-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Erick Fedde • PHI: Matt Moore+114
L 5-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Joe Ross • PHI: Spencer Howard+120
L 4-5 at Baltimore OriolesWSN: Paolo Espino • BAL: John Means-108

Injuries

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • 2BNico Hoerner10-day IL
  • PJake ArrietaUnknown
  • PBrad Wieck60-day IL
  • PDillon Maples10-day IL
  • PKohl Stewart60-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • SSJordy Mercer10-day IL
  • SSTrea Turner10-day IL
  • CAlex Avila10-day IL
  • PStephen StrasburgOut for Season
  • PKyle McGowin10-day IL
  • PAustin Voth10-day IL
  • PDaniel Hudson10-day IL
  • LFKyle Schwarber10-day IL
  • CFVictor RoblesQuestionable
  • 2BStarlin CastroOut
  • PSteven Fuentes60-day IL
NNW 8 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)84°82°81°80°
Humidity43%46%49%49%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 8 mphNNW 7 mphN 7 mphN 7 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-120-+118+120+120+120+120-
Nationals+100--138-130-130-130-130-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-115+118+119+115+118+121+121-
Nationals+105-128-130-125-128-131-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cubs ML moved from +118 to +110
Nationals ML moved from -108 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cubs: 10.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cubs: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cubs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cubs ML
Nationals ML moved from -123 to -130

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+135-+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180-
Nationals+1½-155--1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cubs-1½+135+1½-180+1½-178+1½-185+1½-195+1½-175+1½-175-
Nationals+1½-154-1½+160-1½+158-1½+165-1½+165-1½+155-1½+165-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110-o9-110o9-111o9-111o9-111o9-110-
Underu9-110-u9-110u9-109u9-109u9-109u9-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-110o9-105o9-105-
Underu9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-110u9-115u9-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o9-110
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120
Rockies at Padres
Phillies at Pirates