Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(2-9)
34.9%
Projected Runs: 3.19

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
21-13.521.435
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 3-6 at Chicago CubsPIT: Trevor Williams • CHC: Yu Darvish+190
L 3-0 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Brandon Woodruff • PIT: Joe Musgrove+137
W 6-8 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Josh Lindblom • PIT: Derek Holland+168
L 6-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Adrian Houser • PIT: Steven Brault+160
W 5-1 at St. Louis CardinalsPIT: Mitch Keller • STL: Dakota Hudson+130

Injuries

Status
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • LFKevin Kramer60-day IL
  • PClay Holmes10-day IL
  • CLuke Maile60-day IL
  • PHector NoesiOut for Season
  • PJameson Taillon60-day IL
  • PChris Archer60-day IL
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • SSJT Riddle10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

(9-2)
65.1%
Projected Runs: 5.95

Tyler Chatwood (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-00.710.789
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 3-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Trevor Williams • CHC: Yu Darvish-200
L 7-12 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Sonny Gray+105
W 8-5 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Alec Mills • CIN: Tyler Mahle+120
W 8-7 at Cincinnati RedsCHC: Jon Lester • CIN: Wade Miley-114
W 1-9 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Freddy Peralta • CHC: Tyler Chatwood-105

Injuries

Status
  • 3BDaniel Descalso45-day IL
  • PJose Quintana10-day IL
NE 7 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)73°72°72°71°
Humidity69%69%69%70%
Precipitation10%8%6%10%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 7 mphNNE 7 mphNNE 7 mphNE 6 mph
Bill Welke
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Strong Home UmpireStrong Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Pittsburgh+167+167+168+172+162+172+172
Chicago Cubs-182-177-196-187-177-187-177
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Pittsburgh+143+170+162+164+165+165+170
Chicago Cubs-153-190-179-179-185-180-179

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 10.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from +165 to +155
Chicago Cubs ML moved from -188 to -194

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chicago Cubs: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Chicago Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from +167 to +161
Chicago Cubs ML moved from -174 to -180

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Pittsburgh+1½-130+1½-120+1½-120+1½-123+1½-120+1½-123+1½-120
Chicago Cubs-1½+110-1½+100-1½+100-1½+103-1½+100-1½+103-1½+103
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Pittsburgh+0½-110+1½-120+1½-122+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-120
Chicago Cubs+0½-110-1½+100-1½+104-1½+105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo10-110o9-120o9-120o9-120-o9-120o9-120
Underu10-110u9+100u9+100u9+100-u9+100u9+100
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo9-110o9-125o9-118o9-115o9-110o9-125o9-110
Underu9-110u9+105u9-102u9-105u9-110u9+105u9+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9-125
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-110