Marlins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
39.9%60.1%
Marlins WinRed Sox Win
4.03Projected Runs 5.08
5Final Score 7
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
234-95.091.349

Brayan Bello (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
208-63.251.29

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 1-2 at Boston Red SoxMIA: Sandy Alcántara • BOS: Lucas Giolito+146
L 4-9 at Cleveland GuardiansMIA: Edward Cabrera • CLE: Tanner Bibee+108
W 13-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIA: Eury Pérez • CLE: Gavin Williams+122
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIA: Janson Junk • CLE: Logan Allen+118
L 1-7 at Atlanta BravesMIA: Cal Quantrill • ATL: Joey Wentz+116
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcántara • BOS: Lucas Giolito-158
L 1-4 at Houston AstrosBOS: Walker Buehler • HOU: Hunter Brown+136
W 14-1 at Houston AstrosBOS: Dustin May • HOU: Spencer Arrighetti-102
L 6-7 at Houston AstrosBOS: Garrett Crochet • HOU: Cristian Javier-153
L 2-6 at San Diego PadresBOS: Brayan Bello • SDP: Dylan Cease+131

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFKyle StowersRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BMarcelo Mayer10-day IL
  • PTanner HouckOut for Season
ESE 9 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)84°83°81°80°
Humidity46%49%54%58%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearPartly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindESE 9 mphESE 9 mphSE 8 mphS 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+149+165+150+153+166+153+166+158.9
Red Sox-165-179-182-169-176-169-169-158.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+156+160+165+169+166+165+169+158.9
Red Sox-180-180-185-184-192-180-180-158.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +157 to +150
Red Sox ML moved from -185 to -192

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +160 to +150
Red Sox ML moved from -176 to -182

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-140+1½-123+1½-135+1½-130+1½-125+1½-130+1½-123+1½-119
Red Sox-1½+120-1½+107-1½+115-1½+110-1½+105-1½+110-1½+115-1½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-130+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120+1½-120+1½-125+1½-120+1½-119
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+105-1½+105-1½+100-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-108o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-110o9-108o9+100
Underu9½-115u9-108u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-110u9-108u9+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-110o9-105o9-115o9-115o9-110o9-105o9+100
Underu9½-115u9-110u9-115u9-105u9-105u9-110u9-105u9+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-115 to o9½+100
The Under moved from u9½-120 to u9-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-115