Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
50.2%49.8%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.26Projected Runs 4.25
2Final Score 3
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank25
R/G3.5
RA/G4.3
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2

Pitching

Patrick Corbin (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
145-55.41.409

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-21.51.0

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 2-11 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Jon Lester • MIA: Pablo Lopez+132
W 7-3 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Joe Ross • MIA: Cody Poteet-117
W 13-12 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Erick Fedde • PHI: Vince Velasquez+101
W 3-2 at Philadelphia PhilliesWSN: Max Scherzer • PHI: Zack Wheeler-101
W 2-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • WSN: Patrick Corbin-112
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 2-11 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Jon Lester • MIA: Pablo Lopez-135
L 7-3 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Joe Ross • MIA: Cody Poteet+109
L 3-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Robbie Ray • MIA: Trevor Rogers+109
L 2-1 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Ross Stripling • MIA: Sandy Alcantara-109
L 0-2 at Chicago CubsMIA: Zach Thompson • CHC: Alec Mills+140

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PStephen Strasburg10-day IL
  • LFAndrew Stevenson10-day IL
  • CFVictor RoblesRest
  • 1BJosh BellProbable
  • PDaniel Hudson10-day IL
  • PKyle Finnegan10-day IL
  • SSJordy MercerQuestionable

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PDaniel Castano10-day IL
  • LFCorey Dickerson10-day IL
  • PElieser Hernandez60-day IL
  • SSJose Devers10-day IL
  • PNick Neidert10-day IL
  • CJorge AlfaroRest
E 10 mph
Marlins Park, Miami
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)84°84°82°81°
Humidity72%74%76%75%
Precipitation14%12%10%11%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and OvercastHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindE 10 mphE 10 mphE 11 mphE 12 mph
Vic Carapazza
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-125-105-110-105-105-105-105-
Marlins+115-105-110-105-105-105-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-117+101-105-105+100-103+101-
Marlins+107-111-105-105-110-107-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +101 to -104
Marlins ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 10.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 40.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +100 to -105
Marlins ML moved from -112 to -118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-1½+141-1½+151-1½+155-1½+153-1½+153-1½+153-1½+155-
Marlins+1½-161+1½-175+1½-175+1½-173+1½-173+1½-173+1½-173-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals-1½+138+1½-200-1½+155+1½-210-1½+160+1½-215-
Marlins+1½-157-1½+175+1½-175-1½+180+1½-190-1½+190-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½-112o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-112-
Underu8+100u7½-108u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-120o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115-
Underu8+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-102 to o7½-112
The Under moved from u7½-102 to u7½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-105 to u7½-110