Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
37.3%62.7%
Pirates WinCubs Win
2.95Projected Runs 4.28
2Final Score 3

Chicago Cubs

(92-70)
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank6
R/G5.0
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
141-94.151.275

Colin Rea (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-23.921.371

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 1-2 at Chicago CubsPIT: Mike Burrows • CHC: Matthew Boyd+210
W 2-1 at Chicago CubsPIT: Paul Skenes • CHC: Cade Horton+101
L 2-3 at Chicago CubsPIT: Andrew Heaney • CHC: Jameson Taillon+190
W 2-5 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Cal Quantrill • PIT: Bailey Falter-156
L 3-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcántara • PIT: Mitch Keller-142
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mike Burrows • CHC: Matthew Boyd-220
L 2-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • CHC: Cade Horton-108
W 2-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Andrew Heaney • CHC: Jameson Taillon-195
L 2-7 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Ben Brown • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-105
W 8-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCHC: Colin Rea • PHI: Mick Abel-105

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • CJoey BartUnknown
  • 2BEnmanuel ValdezOut for Season
  • CEndy Rodriguez60-day IL
  • PJared JonesOut for Season

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CMiguel Amaya10-day IL
  • RFKyle TuckerRest
  • -Porter Hodge15-day IL
NE 9 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
WindO/U Effect
InModerate on Under
 
Temp (°F)70°71°72°72°
Humidity73%69%64%64%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyCloudyCloudyCloudy
WindNE 9 mphNE 7 mphNE 7 mphNE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+154+130+120+138+129+138+138+143.6
Cubs-170-140-143-152-139-152-139-143.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+153+130+128+133+133+132+133+143.6
Cubs-175-145-143-148-150-144-143-143.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 20.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +149 to +130
Cubs ML moved from -145 to -152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +152 to +143
No Steam Moves On Cubs ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-168+1½-180+1½-170+1½-180+1½-170+1½-168+1½-157
Cubs-1½+125-1½+152-1½+155-1½+149-1½+160-1½+149-1½+160-1½+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-145+1½-175+1½-180+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-157
Cubs-1½+125-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-108o7+100o7-105o7-105o7-105o7+100o7+104
Underu7½-105u7-108u7-120u7-115u7-115u7-115u7-108u7-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-110o7-110o7+104
Underu7½-105u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-110u7-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7-110 to u7-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7+100 to o7-110
The Under moved from u7-110 to u7-120