Guardians at Red Sox

Updated
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
33.9%66.1%
Guardians WinRed Sox Win
2.81Projected Runs 4.47
7Final Score 11
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank13
R/G4.0
RA/G4.1
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Slade Cecconi (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
185-64.411.265

Garrett Crochet (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2714-52.41.062

Last 5 Games

Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 4-6 at Boston Red SoxCLE: Parker Messick • BOS: Brayan Bello+134
L 4-2 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • CLE: Tanner Bibee+102
W 3-4 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • CLE: Gavin Williams+135
W 4-5 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: George Kirby • CLE: Logan Allen+140
W 3-4 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Drew Rasmussen • CLE: Slade Cecconi+142
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 4-6 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Parker Messick • BOS: Brayan Bello-135
W 2-5 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • BOS: Lucas Giolito-169
L 10-3 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Johan Oviedo • BOS: Dustin May-174
L 4-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Paul Skenes • BOS: Payton Tolle-110
W 3-2 at Baltimore OriolesBOS: Garrett Crochet • BAL: Cade Povich-190

Injuries

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PEmmanuel ClaseOut for Season
  • PLuis OrtizOut for Season
  • SSGabriel AriasRest

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • RFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
  • PRichard Fitts15-day IL
  • 2BMarcelo MayerOut for Season
ESE 8 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)72°69°66°64°
Humidity54%60%68%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly ClearClearClear
WindESE 8 mphSE 6 mphSE 5 mphSSE 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+206+212+210+206+222+206+222+213.3
Red Sox-230-234-260-230-245-230-230-213.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+210+220+212+220+220+210+220+213.3
Red Sox-250-260-240-260-260-240-240-213.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 50.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +222 to +212
Red Sox ML moved from -250 to -260

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Guardians: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Guardians: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Guardians: 30.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Guardians ML moved from +225 to +210
Red Sox ML moved from -250 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½-110+1½+102+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+109
Red Sox-1½-110-1½-118-1½-125-1½-120-1½-125-1½-120-1½-118-1½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Guardians+1½+100+1½+105+1½+100+1½+100+1½+105+1½+100+1½+105+1½+109
Red Sox-1½-120-1½-125-1½-120-1½-120-1½-125-1½-120-1½-120-1½-109

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o7½-113o7½-120o7½-113o7½-115o7½-113o7½-113o7½-103
Underu8½-110u7½-103u7½+100u7½-107u7½-105u7½-107u7½+100u7½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o7½-120o7½-115o8+105o7½-110o7½-115o7½-110o7½-103
Underu8-105u7½+100u7½-105u8-125u7½-110u7½-105u7½+100u7½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-110 to u8-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-105 to u8-125