Tigers at Red Sox

Updated

Detroit Tigers

(10-8)
Rank20
R/G3.6
RA/G3.7
40.5%59.5%
Tigers WinRed Sox Win
4.08Projected Runs 5.07
6Final Score 5

Boston Red Sox

(10-9)
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0
Rank20
R/G3.6
RA/G3.7
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Casey Mize (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-35.061.388

Martin Perez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-24.71.478

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
L 7-11 at Boston Red SoxDET: Michael Fulmer • BOS: Nick Pivetta+160
L 0-2 at New York YankeesDET: Jose Urena • NYY: Corey Kluber+215
L 4-6 at New York YankeesDET: Spencer Turnbull • NYY: Jameson Taillon+200
L 0-10 at New York YankeesDET: Tarik Skubal • NYY: Gerrit Cole+355
L 0-11 at Chicago White SoxDET: Matthew Boyd • CHW: Dylan Cease+140
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 7-11 vs Detroit TigersDET: Michael Fulmer • BOS: Nick Pivetta-170
L 3-5 at Texas RangersBOS: Garrett Richards • TEX: Mike Foltynewicz-118
L 6-8 at Texas RangersBOS: Eduardo Rodriguez • TEX: Jordan Lyles-174
W 6-1 at Texas RangersBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • TEX: Kohei Arihara-155
L 1-4 at Texas RangersBOS: Martin Perez • TEX: Kyle Gibson-103

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • PJulio Teheran60-day IL
  • PMatthew BoydOut
  • CWilson RamosRest
  • CFAkil BaddooRest
  • RFNomar Mazara10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PChris SaleOut for Season
  • CFAlex VerdugoUnknown
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
D.J. Reyburn
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+158+155+160+161+160+161+161-
Red Sox-172-173-185-175-175-175-173-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+165+160+166+160+155+164+166-
Red Sox-180-175-183-175-175-178-175-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +162 to +150
Red Sox ML moved from -168 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tigers: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tigers: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tigers: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tigers: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tigers: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tigers ML moved from +170 to +155
Red Sox ML moved from -172 to -178

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-130+1½-125+1½-115+1½-124+1½-124+1½-124+1½-115-
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+105-1½-105-1½+104-1½+104-1½+104-1½+105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tigers+1½-130+1½-120+1½-122+1½-120+1½-125+1½-125+1½-120-
Red Sox-1½+110-1½+100-1½+104-1½+100-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9+105o9-105o9+100o9+100o9+100o9+105-
Underu9+100u9-125u9-115u9-120u9-120u9-120u9-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o9+105o9+105o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+105-
Underu9-110u9-125u9-125u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-119 to u9-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-125
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