Pirates at Padres

Updated
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
34.6%65.4%
Pirates WinPadres Win
3.04Projected Runs 4.65
2Final Score 4
Rank9
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6
Rank17
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank9
R/G5.2
RA/G4.6

Pitching

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
52-22.631.024

Yu Darvish (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-12.130.895

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 2-1 at San Diego PadresPIT: Mitch Keller • SDP: Dinelson Lamet+221
L 0-2 at San Diego PadresPIT: Tyler Anderson • SDP: Miguel Diaz+164
L 3-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Carlos Martinez • PIT: Wil Crowe+120
L 12-5 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Jack Flaherty • PIT: Trevor Cahill+140
L 7-3 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: John Gant • PIT: JT Brubaker-115
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • SDP: Dinelson Lamet-240
W 0-2 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Tyler Anderson • SDP: Miguel Diaz-177
L 7-1 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Kevin Gausman • SDP: Joe Musgrove-175
W 2-6 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Anthony DeSclafani • SDP: Blake Snell-170
W 2-3 vs San Francisco GiantsSFG: Logan Webb • SDP: Yu Darvish-190

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFJared OlivaOut
  • 3BPhillip EvansRest
  • RFGregory Polanco10-day IL
  • PChad Kuhl10-day IL
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesOut

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PRyan WeathersQuestionable
  • CFTrent GrishamRest
  • PChris Paddack10-day IL
  • PTaylor Williams10-day IL
  • SSJavy Guerra60-day IL
  • PAdrian MorejonOut for Season
  • 3BManny MachadoRest
SW 6 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)65°64°63°62°
Humidity76%80%81%91%
Precipitation1%1%1%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindSW 6 mphSSW 5 mphWSW 5 mphWSW 5 mph
Ryan Additon
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+237+188+190+192+185+192+192-
Padres-265-210-220-210-210-210-210-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+210+200+195+200+200+202+202-
Padres-240-240-215-220-230-222-215-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 10.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +196 to +183
Padres ML moved from -228 to -235

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +210 to +200
Padres ML moved from -230 to -240

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-115+1½-133+1½-130+1½-133+1½-133+1½-133+1½-130-
Padres-1½-105-1½+114-1½+110-1½+113-1½+113-1½+113-1½+114-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-110+1½-130+1½-132+1½-130+1½-115+1½-115+1½-115-
Padres-1½-110-1½+110-1½+114-1½+110-1½-105-1½-105-1½+114-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7-105o6½+101o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+101-
Underu7-115u6½-123u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-110o6½+100o6½-105o6½-115o6½-110o6½+100-
Underu6½-110u6½-110u6½-120u6½-115u6½-105u6½-110u6½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-110 to o6½-120
The Under moved from u6½-115 to u6½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-110 to o6½-120
The Under moved from u6½-110 to u6½-115