Astros at Red Sox

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.1
RA/G5.5
49.0%51.0%
Astros WinRed Sox Win
4.26Projected Runs 4.37
9Final Score 1
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7
Rank18
R/G4.1
RA/G5.5
Rank21
R/G4.3
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2211-63.141.248

Chris Sale (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-13.161.336

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 9-2 at Boston Red SoxHOU: Zack Greinke • BOS: Nick Pivetta+119
L 3-12 at Boston Red SoxHOU: Jose Urquidy • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez+114
L 9-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • HOU: Luis Garcia-109
W 4-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Chris Sale • HOU: Framber Valdez-139
W 10-1 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Lance McCullers • CHW: Carlos Rodon-105
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 9-2 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Zack Greinke • BOS: Nick Pivetta-126
W 3-12 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Jose Urquidy • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez-120
W 9-5 at Houston AstrosBOS: Nathan Eovaldi • HOU: Luis Garcia+105
L 4-5 at Houston AstrosBOS: Chris Sale • HOU: Framber Valdez+137
W 5-6 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Collin McHugh • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez-106

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • SSFreudis Nova60-day IL
  • PLance McCullers JrOut
  • PLuis GarciaQuestionable
  • CFJake MeyersQuestionable

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • PGarrett Richards10-day IL
NW 3 mph
Fenway Park, Boston
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)69°65°63°63°
Humidity65%73%69%69%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClearClear
WindNW 3 mphNW 4 mphWSW 5 mphSW 5 mph
Jim Wolf
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+110+107+115+116+115+115+116+116.1
Red Sox-120-128-125-126-125-125-125-116.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+110+107+114+115+114+111+115+116.1
Red Sox-120-117-124-125-124-121-117-116.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Astros ML
Red Sox ML moved from -121 to -127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Red Sox: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +114 to +106
Red Sox ML moved from -118 to -124

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-180+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-173+1½-173+1½-173+1½-161
Red Sox-1½+160-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+153-1½+153-1½+155-1½+161
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-185+1½-175+1½-170+1½-175+1½-175+1½-175+1½-170+1½-161
Red Sox-1½+165-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+155-1½+161

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-105o9½-113o9½-115o9½-113o9½-113o9½-105o9½-102
Underu9½-110u9½-115u9½-107u9½-105u9½-107u9½-107u9½-105u9½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-110o9½-115o9½-110o9½-115o9½-120o9½-110o9½-110o9½-102
Underu9½-110u9½-105u9½-110u9½-105u9½+100u9½-110u9½+100u9½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½-103 to u9½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9½-105 to o9½-110
The Under moved from u9½+105 to u9½-105