Marlins at Mets

Updated
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
41.6%58.4%
Marlins WinMets Win
3.45Projected Runs 4.34
2Final Score 5
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4
Rank27
R/G3.4
RA/G5.2
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G4.4

Pitching

Zach Thompson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
132-63.341.214

Marcus Stroman (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
329-133.01.138

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 2-3 at Tampa Bay RaysMIA: Jesus Luzardo • TBR: Shane Baz+245
L 3-7 at Tampa Bay RaysMIA: Sandy Alcantara • TBR: Shane McClanahan+182
L 0-8 at Tampa Bay RaysMIA: Edward Cabrera • TBR: David Robertson+233
L 7-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josiah Gray • MIA: Elieser Hernandez-122
L 7-1 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Josh Rogers • MIA: Trevor Rogers-136
New York Mets
Money Line
L 4-8 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Carlos Carrasco • MIL: Freddy Peralta+145
L 1-2 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Rich Hill • MIL: Corbin Burnes+185
L 1-5 at Milwaukee BrewersNYM: Tylor Megill • MIL: Eric Lauer+125
L 5-12 at Boston Red SoxNYM: Taijuan Walker • BOS: Chris Sale+163
L 3-6 at Boston Red SoxNYM: Marcus Stroman • BOS: Eduardo Rodriguez+122

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • CJorge Alfaro10-day IL
  • 1BJesus Aguilar10-day IL
  • SSMiguel RojasUnknown
  • PPablo Lopez60-day IL
  • 3BBrian AndersonOut for Season

New York Mets

Status
  • LFDominic SmithRest
  • PThomas Szapucki60-day IL
  • LFJeff McNeilRest
  • CJames McCannRest
  • 3BJ.D. Davis10-day IL
SW 7 mph
Citi Field, Flushing
WindO/U Effect
To RightSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)72°70°70°71°
Humidity82%87%87%88%
Precipitation36%49%38%19%
ConditionRainRainRainMostly Cloudy
WindSW 7 mphWSW 8 mphWSW 7 mphNNW 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+152+165+177+180+173+177+180+179.8
Mets-165-200-193-193-193-193-193-179.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+150+185+176+179+176+180+185+179.8
Mets-165-210-194-199-195-200-194-179.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 10.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +183 to +177
Mets ML moved from -170 to -195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mets: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 40.0%
Mets: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +162 to +156
Mets ML moved from -200 to -210

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-165+1½-145+1½-140+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135
Mets-1½+145-1½+125-1½+120-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+135
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-164+1½-150+1½-152+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-135
Mets-1½+145-1½+130-1½+133-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+133-1½+135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6+100o5½-115o5½-108o5½-120o5½-110o5½-108o5½-108o5½-103
Underu6-120u5½-105u5½-112u5½+100u5½-110u5½-112u5½+100u5½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6+100o5½-120o5½-115o5½-120o5½-120o5½-115o5½-115o5½-103
Underu6-120u5½+100u5½-105u5½-100u5½+100u5½-105u5½+100u5½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o5½-104 to o5½-110
The Under moved from u6-130 to u6-137

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o5½+100 to o5½-115
The Under moved from u5½-110 to u5½-120