Red Sox at Guardians

Updated

Boston Red Sox

(19-17)
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G3.5
44.1%55.9%
Red Sox WinGuardians Win
4.18Projected Runs 4.79
4Final Score 6

Cleveland Guardians

(23-13)
Rank11
R/G4.9
RA/G3.8
Rank13
R/G4.6
RA/G3.5
Rank11
R/G4.9
RA/G3.8

Pitching

Chase Anderson (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-02.770.846

Triston McKenzie (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
42-25.01.611

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 8-0 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Cooper Criswell • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+118
L 1-4 at Cleveland GuardiansBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively+112
W 6-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Josh Winckowski • PIT: Martín Pérez+138
W 4-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Kutter Crawford • PIT: Mitch Keller+105
W 8-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesBOS: Brayan Bello • PIT: Quinn Priester+104
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 8-0 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Cooper Criswell • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-127
W 1-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Tanner Houck • CLE: Ben Lively-120
W 2-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Ross Stripling • CLE: Tanner Bibee-160
W 3-6 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Alex Wood • CLE: Logan Allen-176
W 2-10 vs Oakland AthleticsOAK: Joe Boyle • CLE: Triston McKenzie-157

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • SSTrevor Story60-day IL
  • 2BVaughn Grissom10-day IL
  • CTyler Heineman10-day IL
  • 2BRomy Gonzalez10-day IL
  • PIsaiah Campbell15-day IL
  • -Bryan Mata15-day IL
  • 1BTriston Casas10-day IL
  • PGarrett Whitlock10-day IL
  • PBrayan Bello15-day IL
  • PChris MurphyOut for Season
  • PNick Pivetta15-day IL
  • -Liam Hendriks60-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • PShane BieberOut for Season
  • PEli Morgan15-day IL
  • PGavin Williams15-day IL
  • PJames Karinchak60-day IL
  • 2BAngel Martinez60-day IL
  • PSam Hentges15-day IL
  • -Trevor Stephan60-day IL
N 9 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterSmall on Under
 
Temp (°F)49°49°50°49°
Humidity56%55%52%50%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindN 9 mphN 11 mphNNE 12 mphNNE 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+130+114+109+115+114+115+115+119.4
Guardians-155-124-131-125-124-125-124-119.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+135+115+115+116+117+116+117+119.4
Guardians-154-125-125-131-127-126-125-119.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +113 to +107
Guardians ML moved from -122 to -130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Red Sox: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +121 to +115
No Steam Moves On Guardians ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-160+1½-188+1½-185+1½-197+1½-190+1½-197+1½-185+1½-180
Guardians-1½+135-1½+167-1½+160-1½+172-1½+165-1½+172-1½+172-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-158+1½-190+1½-187+1½-180+1½-180+1½-190+1½-180+1½-180
Guardians-1½+138-1½+170-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+165-1½+170-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½+102o7½+100o7½-101o7½-105o7½-101o7½+102o7½+108
Underu7½-115u7½-118u7½-120u7½-119u7½-115u7½-119u7½-115u7½-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-105o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½+100o7½+108
Underu7½-105u7½-115u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+107 to o7½-103
The Under moved from u7½-113 to u7½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-115 to u7+100
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