Royals at Phillies

Updated
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
44.5%55.5%
Royals WinPhillies Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.21
10Final Score 3
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1
Rank16
R/G4.0
RA/G3.9
Rank3
R/G4.9
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Noah Cameron (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
217-73.01.117

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
144-86.241.453

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 6-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesKCR: Ryan Bergert • PHI: Taijuan Walker+130
L 2-8 at Philadelphia PhilliesKCR: Michael Lorenzen • PHI: Walker Buehler+126
L 2-3 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Stephen Kolek • CLE: Gavin Williams+124
W 4-3 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Jonathan Bowlan • CLE: Logan Allen-105
L 0-2 at Cleveland GuardiansKCR: Noah Cameron • CLE: Joey Cantillo-101
Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 6-8 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Ryan Bergert • PHI: Taijuan Walker-138
W 2-8 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Michael Lorenzen • PHI: Walker Buehler-135
W 4-6 vs New York MetsNYM: David Peterson • PHI: Jesus Luzardo-112
W 3-11 vs New York MetsNYM: Clay Holmes • PHI: Cristopher Sanchez-145
W 3-9 vs New York MetsNYM: Sean Manaea • PHI: Ranger Suárez-127

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • PMichael WachaUnknown
  • PSeth Lugo15-day IL
  • PBailey Falter15-day IL

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • PZack WheelerOut for Season
  • SSTrea Turner10-day IL
  • RHPJordan Romano15-day IL
  • 3BAlec Bohm10-day IL
NE 5 mph
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)82°83°84°84°
Humidity48%46%43%42%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNE 5 mphNE 5 mphNE 6 mphNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+149+136+128+132+134+132+136+137.7
Phillies-165-146-153-146-144-146-144-137.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+148+135+135+134+133+135+135+137.7
Phillies-168-150-150-149-150-150-149-137.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +136 to +129
Phillies ML moved from -155 to -162

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Royals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 20.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Phillies: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +148 to +141
No Steam Moves On Phillies ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-160+1½-153+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-153+1½-143
Phillies-1½+135-1½+137-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+137-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½-155+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145+1½-155+1½-155+1½-145+1½-143
Phillies-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+125-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-113o8½-110o8½-108o8½-120o8½-108o8½-108o8½+102
Underu9-110u8½-103u8½-110u8½-112u8½+100u8½-112u8½+100u8½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-110o8½-120o8½-120o9+105o8½-120o8½-120o9+105o8½+102
Underu9-110u8½+100u8½+100u9-125u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-110 to u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-110 to u8½+100