Tampa Bay at Atlanta

Updated
48.2%
Projected Runs: 4.34
Final Score: 1

Ryan Yarbrough (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-23.781.14
Last 5 Games
Money Line
L 4-7 at Atlanta BravesTBR: Charlie Morton • ATL: Mike Soroka+115
W 2-5 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Kyle Wright • TBR: Yonny Chirinos-130
W 5-14 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Mike Foltynewicz • TBR: Tyler Glasnow-135
W 5-6 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Thomas Hatch • TBR: Blake Snell-190
W 1-4 vs Toronto Blue JaysTOR: Matt Shoemaker • TBR: Ryan Yarbrough-140

Injuries

Status
  • 1BJi-Man ChoiUnknown
  • CFKevin KiermaierUnknown
  • CFAustin Meadows10-day IL
  • PColin PocheOut for Season
51.8%
Projected Runs: 4.53
Final Score: 2

Max Fried (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
43-01.590.838
Last 5 Games
Money Line
W 4-7 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Charlie Morton • ATL: Mike Soroka-122
L 2-5 at Tampa Bay RaysATL: Kyle Wright • TBR: Yonny Chirinos+123
L 5-14 at Tampa Bay RaysATL: Mike Foltynewicz • TBR: Tyler Glasnow+130
W 14-1 at New York MetsATL: Sean Newcomb • NYM: Rick Porcello-103
W 5-3 at New York MetsATL: Max Fried • NYM: Steven Matz-115

Injuries

Status
  • PFelix HernandezOut for Season
  • PJeremy Walker60-day IL
  • CTravis d'ArnaudUnknown
  • RFNick MarkakisOut
  • CFEnder InciarteUnknown
  • PCole Hamels45-day IL
  • PWill SmithOut
WSW 7 mph
SunTrust Park, Atlanta
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)84°83°82°82°
Humidity61%64%69%73%
Precipitation8%6%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearHumid
WindWSW 7 mphWSW 6 mphWSW 6 mphWSW 7 mph
Carlos Torres
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Strong Away UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay+113+138+135+140+136+140+140
Atlanta-123-148-155-152-146-152-146
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay+115+142+138+139+135+139+142
Atlanta-125-152-151-149-150-149-149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +121 to +113
Atlanta ML moved from -136 to -142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay ML
Atlanta ML moved from -143 to -149

Run Lines

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Tampa Bay+1½-175+1½-150+1½-155+1½-145+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145
Atlanta-1½+155-1½+130-1½+135-1½+125-1½+130-1½+125-1½+135
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Tampa Bay+1½-175+1½-150+1½-152+1½-155+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150
Atlanta-1½+155-1½+130-1½+133-1½+135-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135

Over/Under Analysis

Updated

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-125o9-105o9-105o9-108-o9-108o9-105
Underu8½+105u9-115u9-115u9-112-u9-112u9-112
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-120o8½-120o8½-125o8½-120o8½-125o9+100o8½-120
Underu8½+100u8½+100u8½+105u8½+100u8½+105u9-120u8½+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-119 to o9-108
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-120 to o9-120
The Under moved from u9+100 to u9-120