Twins at Guardians

Updated
Rank9
R/G4.0
RA/G1.0
47.6%52.4%
Twins WinGuardians Win
4.01Projected Runs 4.26
2Final Score 3
Rank20
R/G8.0
RA/G0.0
Rank9
R/G4.0
RA/G1.0
Rank20
R/G8.0
RA/G0.0

Pitching

Devin Smeltzer (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
84-13.051.06

Zach Plesac (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
132-54.171.241

Last 5 Games

Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 11-1 at Cleveland GuardiansMIN: Sonny Gray • CLE: Triston McKenzie-120
W 3-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Ryan Feltner • MIN: Joe Ryan-206
W 0-6 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: Antonio Senzatela • MIN: Chris Archer-168
L 1-0 vs Colorado RockiesCOL: German Marquez • MIN: Dylan Bundy-138
W 0-1 vs Cleveland GuardiansCLE: Zach Plesac • MIN: Devin Smeltzer-128
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 11-1 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Sonny Gray • CLE: Triston McKenzie+113
L 8-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Rich Hill • CLE: Aaron Civale-101
L 4-2 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Josh Winckowski • CLE: Shane Bieber-152
L 6-3 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Nick Pivetta • CLE: Cal Quantrill+106
L 0-1 at Minnesota TwinsCLE: Zach Plesac • MIN: Devin Smeltzer+125

Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • 2BJorge Polanco10-day IL
  • PCody Stashak60-day IL
  • PDanny CoulombeUnknown
  • PBailey OberUnknown
  • LFTrevor LarnachOut
  • SSRoyce LewisOut for Season
  • 3BGio UrshelaRest
  • -Joe SmithUnknown
  • CFByron BuxtonRest
  • CRyan JeffersRest

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CAustin HedgesUnknown
  • RFJosh NaylorRest
NNW 4 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)70°70°72°73°
Humidity45%43%42%42%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindNNW 4 mphNNW 5 mphNNW 6 mphNNW 6 mph
Lance Barksdale
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Strong Home UmpireModerate Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-110--101+102+100-101+102+104.4
Guardians+100--109-112-110-109-109-104.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-112-103-102+100+104+100+104+104.4
Guardians+102-107-108-110-114-110-107-104.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -101
Guardians ML moved from -105 to -112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twins: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twins: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twins: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twins ML moved from +100 to -103
Guardians ML moved from +100 to -105

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+140-+1½-195-1½+145+1½-195+1½-195-1½+154
Guardians+1½-160--1½+170+1½-165-1½+170-1½+170+1½-154
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twins-1½+140-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+150-1½+155-1½+154
Guardians+1½-160+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-170+1½-154

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100-o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½+100
Underu9-120-u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8½-115o8½-105o8½-110o8½-105o8½+100o8½+100o8½+100
Underu9-120u8½-105u8½-115u8½-110u8½-115u8½-120u8½-105u8½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-103 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8½-130