Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
48.3%51.7%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
3.89Projected Runs 4.06
0Final Score 5
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9

Pitching

MacKenzie Gore (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
275-134.151.337

Ryan Weathers (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-13.281.054

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
L 3-8 at Miami MarlinsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • MIA: Eury Pérez+132
W 7-5 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIA: Adam Mazur+113
W 15-7 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Cade Cavalli • MIA: Ryan Weathers+106
W 6-3 at Chicago CubsWSN: Andrew Alvarez • CHC: Drew Pomeranz+175
W 2-1 at Chicago CubsWSN: Brad Lord • CHC: Matthew Boyd+230
Miami Marlins
Money Line
W 3-8 vs Washington NationalsWSN: MacKenzie Gore • MIA: Eury Pérez-140
L 7-5 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Mitchell Parker • MIA: Adam Mazur-120
L 15-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Cade Cavalli • MIA: Ryan Weathers-114
W 4-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Tyler Phillips+125
L 4-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jesus Luzardo • MIA: Janson Junk+145

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • LFJames WoodRest
  • CKeibert RuizUnknown
  • CDrew Millas10-day IL
  • PDerek LawOut for Season

Miami Marlins

Status
  • PRyan Gusto15-day IL
  • PEdward Cabrera15-day IL
  • LFDane Myers10-day IL
  • -Jesus TinocoOut for Season
  • -Anthony BenderOut for Season
  • 3BGraham Pauley10-day IL
  • LFKyle Stowers10-day IL
  • CFDerek Hill10-day IL
  • 3BConnor Norby10-day IL
N 9 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)81°79°79°79°
Humidity86%87%89%89%
Precipitation95%56%41%40%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstormsCloudy
WindN 9 mphNE 3 mphNE 3 mphN 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+118+114+107+116+116+116+116+121.3
Marlins-130-124-128-128-126-128-124-121.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+125+110+115+111+112+118+118+121.3
Marlins-140-125-128-126-126-128-125-121.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +102 to -103
Marlins ML moved from -127 to -133

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nationals ML
Marlins ML moved from -120 to -126

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-165+1½-197+1½-200+1½-195+1½-195+1½-195+1½-195+1½-178
Marlins-1½+140-1½+173-1½+170-1½+170-1½+167-1½+170-1½+173-1½+178
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-165+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-185+1½-178
Marlins-1½+145-1½+170-1½+160-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+178

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8+102o7½-120o7½-115o7½-120o7½-115o7½-115o7½-104
Underu8½-105u8-118u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½-105u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-110o8+100o8-103o8-105o8+100o7½-120o8+100o7½-104
Underu8½-110u8-120u8-117u8-115u8-120u7½+100u8-115u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8-109 to u8-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-110 to u8-115