Nationals at Marlins

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
48.3%51.7%
Nationals WinMarlins Win
4.85Projected Runs 5.03
7Final Score 5
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9

Pitching

Mitchell Parker (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
287-155.871.476

Adam Mazur (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-25.741.532

Last 5 Games

Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 15-7 at Miami MarlinsWSN: Cade Cavalli • MIA: Ryan Weathers+106
W 6-3 at Chicago CubsWSN: Andrew Alvarez • CHC: Drew Pomeranz+175
W 2-1 at Chicago CubsWSN: Brad Lord • CHC: Matthew Boyd+230
L 5-11 at Chicago CubsWSN: Jake Irvin • CHC: Javier Assad+190
W 5-10 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Eury Pérez • WSN: Mitchell Parker+135
Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 15-7 vs Washington NationalsWSN: Cade Cavalli • MIA: Ryan Weathers-114
W 4-5 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Taijuan Walker • MIA: Tyler Phillips+125
L 4-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Jesus Luzardo • MIA: Janson Junk+145
L 9-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Cristopher Sanchez • MIA: Valente Bellozo+220
L 5-10 at Washington NationalsMIA: Eury Pérez • WSN: Mitchell Parker-143

Injuries

Washington Nationals

Status
  • PDerek LawOut for Season
  • CDrew Millas10-day IL
  • CKeibert RuizUnknown
  • PMacKenzie Gore15-day IL

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFDane Myers10-day IL
  • CFDerek Hill10-day IL
  • PRyan Gusto15-day IL
  • 3BGraham Pauley10-day IL
  • 3BConnor Norby10-day IL
  • -Jesus TinocoOut for Season
  • LFKyle Stowers10-day IL
  • PEdward Cabrera15-day IL
  • -Anthony BenderOut for Season
SE 4 mph
Marlins Park, Miami, FL
WindO/U Effect
InNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°81°81°80°
Humidity82%85%86%87%
Precipitation36%41%31%0%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsCloudyCloudy
WindSE 4 mphSSE 3 mphS 4 mphS 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+113+114+103+112+112+112+114+116.9
Marlins-125-124-123-123-122-123-122-116.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+116+105+110+106+110+113+113+116.9
Marlins-130-120-122-121-120-123-120-116.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +106 to +100
Marlins ML moved from -116 to -122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nationals: 20.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nationals: 0.0%
Marlins: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nationals ML moved from +112 to +103
No Steam Moves On Marlins ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-185+1½-183+1½-185+1½-177+1½-180+1½-177+1½-177+1½-163
Marlins-1½+160-1½+162-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+155-1½+162-1½+163
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nationals+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-200+1½-185+1½-190+1½-185+1½-163
Marlins-1½+160-1½+165-1½+160-1½+170-1½+160-1½+170-1½+170-1½+163

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o9-113o9-120o9-115o9-110o9-115o9-110o9-104
Underu8½+105u9-103u9+100u9-105u9-110u9-105u9+100u9+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125o9-115o9-115o8½-125o9-115o9-115o8½-125o9-104
Underu8½+105u9-105u9-105u8½+105u9-105u9-105u9-105u9+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-113
The Under moved from u9-105 to u9-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-125 to o9-115
No Steam Moves On Under