Astros at Braves

Updated
Rank18
R/G4.1
RA/G5.5
45.1%54.9%
Astros WinBraves Win
3.56Projected Runs 4.08
4Final Score 5
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.1
Rank18
R/G4.1
RA/G5.5
Rank1
R/G6.0
RA/G4.1

Pitching

Cristian Javier (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
187-82.961.025

Spencer Strider (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
147-43.041.035

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
L 2-6 at Atlanta BravesHOU: Lance McCullers • ATL: Kyle Wright+115
W 21-5 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Luis Garcia • CHW: Lucas Giolito-126
W 3-2 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Framber Valdez • CHW: Michael Kopech-145
L 3-4 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Justin Verlander • CHW: Dylan Cease-125
L 2-4 at Chicago White SoxHOU: Jose Urquidy • CHW: Johnny Cueto-119
Atlanta Braves
Money Line
W 2-6 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Lance McCullers • ATL: Kyle Wright-120
W 2-3 vs New York MetsNYM: Jacob deGrom • ATL: Max Fried+128
L 9-7 vs New York MetsNYM: Max Scherzer • ATL: Jake Odorizzi+145
W 0-5 vs New York MetsNYM: Taijuan Walker • ATL: Charlie Morton-156
W 1-13 vs New York MetsNYM: Carlos Carrasco • ATL: Spencer Strider-150

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • CMartin MaldonadoRest
  • LFMichael Brantley60-day IL
  • SSAledmys Diaz10-day IL
  • DHYordan AlvarezDoubtful

Atlanta Braves

Status
  • CChadwick Tromp10-day IL
  • CTravis D'ArnaudRest
  • 3BOrlando Arcia10-day IL
  • LFMarcell OzunaUnknown
  • LFAdam DuvallOut for Season
  • 3BEhire AdrianzaUnknown
  • CManny PinaOut for Season
S 2 mph
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
WindO/U Effect
From Right CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)83°81°79°78°
Humidity70%74%80%82%
Precipitation15%15%16%14%
ConditionOvercastMostly CloudyHumid and OvercastHumid and Overcast
WindS 2 mphSE 1 mphWNW 2 mphSSE 4 mph
Jerry Meals
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away UmpireLean Over Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+130+150+139+148+146+148+150+145.0
Braves-141-160-165-161-161-161-160-145.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+127+145+140+140+146+150+150+145.0
Braves-138-155-154-165-160-160-154-145.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 30.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 50.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +145 to +136
Braves ML moved from -148 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 20.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 10.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 50.0%
Braves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +128 to +115
Braves ML moved from -150 to -158

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-200+1½-153+1½-150+1½-149+1½-149+1½-149+1½-149+1½-143
Braves-1½+170-1½+137-1½+130-1½+129-1½+129-1½+129-1½+137-1½+143
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-175+1½-160+1½-160+1½-155+1½-160+1½-155+1½-155+1½-143
Braves-1½+155-1½+140-1½+141-1½+135-1½+140-1½+135-1½+141-1½+143

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8+105o7½+107o7½+105o7½+115o7½+115o7½+115o7½+115o7½+114
Underu8-125u7½-123u7½-125u7½-135u7½-135u7½-135u7½-123u7½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7½+100o7½+105o7½-100o7½+105o7½+100o7½+105o7½+114
Underu7½-115u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-125u7½-120u7½-120u7½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+102 to o7½-108
The Under moved from u7½-126 to u7½-135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120