Marlins at Red Sox

Updated
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
32.5%67.5%
Marlins WinRed Sox Win
3.12Projected Runs 4.92
5Final Score 3
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2
Rank24
R/G4.4
RA/G4.9
Rank7
R/G4.9
RA/G4.2

Pitching

Janson Junk (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
156-24.061.128

Garrett Crochet (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
2413-52.481.096

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 5-7 at Boston Red SoxMIA: Cal Quantrill • BOS: Brayan Bello+169
L 1-2 at Boston Red SoxMIA: Sandy Alcántara • BOS: Lucas Giolito+146
L 4-9 at Cleveland GuardiansMIA: Edward Cabrera • CLE: Tanner Bibee+108
W 13-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIA: Eury Pérez • CLE: Gavin Williams+122
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansMIA: Janson Junk • CLE: Logan Allen+118
Boston Red Sox
Money Line
W 5-7 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Cal Quantrill • BOS: Brayan Bello-180
W 1-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcántara • BOS: Lucas Giolito-158
L 1-4 at Houston AstrosBOS: Walker Buehler • HOU: Hunter Brown+136
W 14-1 at Houston AstrosBOS: Dustin May • HOU: Spencer Arrighetti-102
L 6-7 at Houston AstrosBOS: Garrett Crochet • HOU: Cristian Javier-153

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • LFKyle Stowers10-day IL

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 3BAlex BregmanRest
  • PTanner HouckOut for Season
  • 2BMarcelo MayerOut for Season
WSW 10 mph
Fenway Park, Boston, MA
WindO/U Effect
To Right CenterModerate on Over
 
Temp (°F)87°89°89°89°
Humidity56%51%49%47%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindWSW 10 mphWSW 10 mphW 10 mphW 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+201+217+215+221+222+221+222+228.8
Red Sox-225-242-265-248-245-248-242-228.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+205+210+217+215+220+220+220+228.8
Red Sox-240-250-245-250-260-250-245-228.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 20.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +205 to +190
Red Sox ML moved from -232 to -242

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 10.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Red Sox: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +225 to +217
Red Sox ML moved from -250 to -260

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-110+1½+107+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+119
Red Sox-1½-110-1½-123-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-130-1½-123-1½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-105+1½+110+1½+105+1½+105+1½+110+1½+110+1½+110+1½+119
Red Sox-1½-115-1½-130-1½-125-1½-125-1½-130-1½-130-1½-125-1½-119

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8½-113o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115o8½-113o8½-104
Underu8½-115u8½-103u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½-103u8½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-104
Underu8½-120u8½-105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-105u8½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u8½-105 to u8½-120