Red Sox at Yankees

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
45.0%55.0%
Red Sox WinYankees Win
3.59Projected Runs 4.11
6Final Score 3
Rank3
R/G5.1
RA/G3.6
Rank14
R/G4.0
RA/G4.0
Rank3
R/G5.1
RA/G3.6

Pitching

Lucas Giolito (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
198-23.631.247

Luis Gil (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
31-15.141.643

Last 5 Games

Boston Red Sox
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Tomoyuki Sugano • BOS: Walker Buehler-138
L 6-3 vs Baltimore OriolesBAL: Trevor Rogers • BOS: Dustin May-116
L 5-3 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Janson Junk • BOS: Garrett Crochet-245
W 5-7 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Cal Quantrill • BOS: Brayan Bello-180
W 1-2 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Sandy Alcántara • BOS: Lucas Giolito-158
New York Yankees
Money Line
W 6-4 at Tampa Bay RaysNYY: Cam Schlittler • TBR: Drew Rasmussen-102
W 13-3 at Tampa Bay RaysNYY: Carlos Rodon • TBR: Shane Baz-128
W 8-4 at St. Louis CardinalsNYY: Will Warren • STL: Miles Mikolas-150
W 12-8 at St. Louis CardinalsNYY: Max Fried • STL: Sonny Gray-133
W 4-3 at St. Louis CardinalsNYY: Luis Gil • STL: Andre Pallante-136

Injuries

Boston Red Sox

Status
  • 2BMarcelo MayerOut for Season
  • RFWilyer Abreu10-day IL
  • PTanner HouckOut for Season
  • LFRob Refsnyder10-day IL

New York Yankees

Status
  • RFAustin Slater10-day IL
  • -Brent Headrick15-day IL
NE 11 mph
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
WindO/U Effect
From Left CenterHigh on Under
 
Temp (°F)71°69°67°66°
Humidity63%67%70%73%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly ClearMostly ClearMostly Clear
WindNE 11 mphNNE 10 mphNNE 9 mphNNE 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+119+127+120+125+126+125+127+130.5
Yankees-142-137-143-138-136-138-136-130.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+120+130+127+133+129+130+133+130.5
Yankees-130-145-141-148-145-140-140-130.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Yankees: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 10.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 0.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +134 to +123
Yankees ML moved from -138 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Red Sox: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Yankees: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Red Sox: 20.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Red Sox: 0.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Red Sox: 40.0%
Yankees: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Red Sox ML moved from +132 to +126
Yankees ML moved from -136 to -142

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-170+1½-168+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-165+1½-153
Yankees-1½+145-1½+152-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+152-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Red Sox+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-153
Yankees-1½+150-1½+145-1½+145-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+145-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-123o8½-120o8½-123o8½-125o8½-123o8½-120o8½-112
Underu8½-120u8½+107u8½+100u8½+103u8½+105u8½+103u8½+107u8½+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8½-125o8½-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-112
Underu8½-120u8½+105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½-105u8½+105u8½+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½-103 to u8½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+100 to o8½-110
The Under moved from u8½-115 to u8-105