Astros at Guardians

Updated

Houston Astros

(10-19)
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G5.3
48.5%51.5%
Astros WinGuardians Win
3.88Projected Runs 4.04
0Final Score 5

Cleveland Guardians

(19-10)
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G3.7
Rank14
R/G4.6
RA/G5.3
Rank10
R/G5.2
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Brandon Bielak (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
63-23.351.487

Shane Bieber (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
134-33.571.277

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
W 6-4 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: J.P. France • CLE: Triston McKenzie+123
L 9-10 at Cleveland GuardiansHOU: Cristian Javier • CLE: Logan Allen-104
L 2-3 at Toronto Blue JaysHOU: Framber Valdez • TOR: José Berríos-110
L 2-3 at Toronto Blue JaysHOU: Ronel Blanco • TOR: Chris Bassitt+137
L 1-5 at Toronto Blue JaysHOU: Hunter Brown • TOR: Kevin Gausman+128
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 6-4 vs Houston AstrosHOU: J.P. France • CLE: Triston McKenzie-120
W 9-10 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Cristian Javier • CLE: Logan Allen-102
W 3-10 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Matt Dermody • CLE: Aaron Civale-145
W 2-5 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: Kutter Crawford • CLE: Tanner Bibee-133
L 5-4 vs Boston Red SoxBOS: James Paxton • CLE: Shane Bieber-103

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • SSJeremy PenaRest
  • 2BJose AltuveRest
  • CMartin MaldonadoRest
  • CFChas McCormickRest
  • PLuis Garcia60-day IL
  • DHYordan Alvarez10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CMike ZuninoRest
  • 3BJose RamirezRest
  • PCal QuantrillUnknown
  • PPeyton Battenfield60-day IL
SW 6 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To RightVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)78°79°78°77°
Humidity46%44%44%47%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionCloudyMostly CloudyCloudyCloudy
WindSW 6 mphW 5 mphNNE 5 mphNNE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+120+107+105+108+113+108+113+112.6
Guardians-130-116-125-118-123-118-116-112.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+125+108+106+110+110+104+110+112.6
Guardians-145-118-116-120-120-120-116-112.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Astros: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 40.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +113 to +100
Guardians ML moved from -134 to -142

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 10.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Astros: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from +105 to -103
Guardians ML moved from -112 to -118

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-160+1½-188+1½-195+1½-197+1½-190+1½-190+1½-188+1½-174
Guardians-1½+140-1½+167-1½+165-1½+172-1½+165-1½+165-1½+167-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros+1½-160+1½-200+1½-196+1½-195+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-174
Guardians-1½+140-1½+175-1½+174-1½+162-1½+170-1½+160-1½+175-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-110o8-118o8-120o8-117o8-120o8-117o8-117o8-106
Underu8-110u8+102u8+100u8-103u8+100u8-103u8+102u8+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8-120o8-120o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-106
Underu8-105u8+100u8+100u8-105u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-108 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8-103 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-120
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-110
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