Detroit at Minnesota

Updated

VS

33.0%
Projected Runs: 3.89
Final Score: 3
67.0%
Projected Runs: 5.64
Final Score: 4

Pitching

Tarik Skubal (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
30-06.971.258

Kenta Maeda (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
74-12.530.75

Last 5 Games

Detroit Tigers
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Matt Wisler • DET: Tyler Alexander+142
L 0-2 at Minnesota TwinsDET: Matthew Boyd • MIN: Randy Dobnak+156
L 5-8 at Milwaukee BrewersDET: Spencer Turnbull • MIL: Adrian Houser+155
W 12-1 at Milwaukee BrewersDET: Michael Fulmer • MIL: Josh Lindblom+179
W 2-3 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • DET: Casey Mize+200
Minnesota Twins
Money Line
W 3-2 at Detroit TigersMIN: Matt Wisler • DET: Tyler Alexander-148
W 0-2 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • MIN: Randy Dobnak-160
W 1-8 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Reynaldo Lopez • MIN: Jose Berrios-167
W 2-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • MIN: Michael Pineda-108
L 8-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • MIN: Rich Hill+106

Injuries

Detroit Tigers

Status
  • 2BNiko Goodrum10-day IL
  • 1BC.J. CronOut for Season
  • 3BHarold Castro10-day IL
  • PIvan Nova10-day IL
  • CFJaCoby Jones10-day IL

Minnesota Twins

Status
  • PZack Littell10-day IL
  • PCody Stashak10-day IL
  • PJake Odorizzi10-day IL
  • RFMax Kepler10-day IL
  • CAlex Avila10-day IL
  • CMitch Garver10-day IL
  • 2BLuis ArraezUnknown
S 4 mph
Target Field, Minneapolis
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°75°73°71°
Humidity39%46%52%59%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionClearClearClearPartly Cloudy
WindS 4 mphSSE 4 mphSSE 5 mphSE 6 mph
Ron Kulpa
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Strong Home UmpireVery Strong Under Umpire

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Detroit+216+255+250+267+260+267+267
Minnesota-240-280-300-302-320-302-280
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Detroit+205-+255+250+230+250+250
Minnesota-230--285-300-280-290-280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 40.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit ML moved from +275 to +266
Minnesota ML moved from -310 to -320

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Detroit: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Minnesota: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Detroit: 40.0%
Minnesota: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Detroit: 0.0%
Minnesota: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Detroit ML moved from +250 to +230
Minnesota ML moved from -276 to -285

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Detroit+1½+100+1½+125+1½+140+1½+135+1½+125+1½+135+1½+140
Minnesota-1½-120-1½-145-1½-160-1½-155-1½-145-1½-155-1½-145
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Detroit+1½+100-+1½+124+1½+130+1½+120+1½+125+1½+130
Minnesota-1½-120--1½-142-1½-150-1½-140-1½-145-1½-140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line
Overo8½-125o8½-105o8½-110o8½-101o8½-105o8½-101o8½-101
Underu8½+105u8½-115u8½-110u8½-119u8½-115u8½-119u8½-110
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line
Overo8½-120-o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110o8½-110
Underu8½+100-u8½-105u8½-110u8½-110u8½-110u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-120
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½+100 to u8½-110