Pirates at Cubs

Updated
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
44.8%55.2%
Pirates WinCubs Win
4.04Projected Runs 4.58
5Final Score 6
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5
Rank20
R/G4.2
RA/G4.2
Rank7
R/G5.5
RA/G4.5

Pitching

Steven Brault (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
50-34.571.385

Alec Mills (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
146-64.321.416

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 5-6 at Chicago CubsPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Keegan Thompson+123
L 3-6 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Max Kranick • CHW: Carlos Rodon+313
L 2-4 at Chicago White SoxPIT: Bryse Wilson • CHW: Lucas Giolito+300
W 3-4 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Kwang Hyun Kim • PIT: Wil Crowe+142
L 13-0 vs St. Louis CardinalsSTL: Adam Wainwright • PIT: Steven Brault+170
Chicago Cubs
Money Line
W 5-6 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CHC: Keegan Thompson-128
W 3-0 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Justin Steele • MIN: Joe Ryan+165
W 3-1 at Minnesota TwinsCHC: Zach Davies • MIN: John Gant+142
L 1-13 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CHW: Dylan Cease+227
W 7-0 at Chicago White SoxCHC: Alec Mills • CHW: Lance Lynn+281

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • 3BKe'Bryan HayesQuestionable
  • PJT Brubaker10-day IL
  • 3BMichael Chavis10-day IL

Chicago Cubs

Status
  • CWillson Contreras10-day IL
  • 2BDavid Bote10-day IL
  • RFJason HeywardRest
SSE 8 mph
Wrigley Field, Chicago
WindO/U Effect
Right to LeftNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)77°77°77°76°
Humidity57%59%59%60%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyOvercastOvercast
WindSSE 8 mphSSE 9 mphSE 9 mphSE 9 mph
John Tumpane
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
Very Strong Home UmpireNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+127+125+136+136+139+136+139-
Cubs-137-145-147-146-149-147-145-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+112+139+132+135+135+134+139-
Cubs-122-149-145-145-147-144-144-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +115 to +105
Cubs ML moved from -135 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cubs: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Cubs: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Cubs: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +135 to +128
Cubs ML moved from -140 to -149

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-165+1½-155+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150-
Cubs-1½+145-1½+135-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+135-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-110+1½-155+1½-154+1½-155+1½-150+1½-155+1½-150-
Cubs-1½-110-1½+135-1½+135-1½+135-1½+130-1½+135-1½+135-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-105o8½-112o8½-110o8½-115o8½-112o8½-105-
Underu9-115u8½-115u8½-108u8½-110u8½-105u8½-108u8½-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o8½-115o8½-120o8½-120o8½-115o8½-115o8½-115-
Underu9+100u8½-105u8½+100u8½+100u8½-105u8½-105u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8½-107 to u8½-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½-110 to o8½-125
The Under moved from u8½+105 to u8½-105