Pirates at Guardians

Updated

Pittsburgh Pirates

(11-11)
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
33.4%66.6%
Pirates WinGuardians Win
5.28Projected Runs 7.00
6Final Score 8

Cleveland Guardians

(16-6)
Rank13
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3
Rank21
R/G4.4
RA/G4.5
Rank13
R/G5.6
RA/G3.3

Pitching

JT Brubaker (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
81-34.461.323

Cal Quantrill (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
22-02.171.207

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 8-0 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Joe Musgrove • CLE: Aaron Civale+155
L 3-4 at Cleveland GuardiansPIT: Mitch Keller • CLE: Carlos Carrasco+220
W 0-7 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • PIT: Chad Kuhl+150
W 1-2 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • PIT: Trevor Williams+224
W 2-3 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Jose Quintana • PIT: Steven Brault+145
Cleveland Guardians
Money Line
L 8-0 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Joe Musgrove • CLE: Aaron Civale-160
W 3-4 vs Pittsburgh PiratesPIT: Mitch Keller • CLE: Carlos Carrasco-230
W 4-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Dallas Keuchel • CLE: Zach Plesac-128
W 2-3 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Lucas Giolito • CLE: Shane Bieber-160
W 3-5 vs Chicago White SoxCHW: Reynaldo Lopez • CLE: Cal Quantrill-120

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • CFCole TuckerUnknown
  • PTyler Bashlor10-day IL
  • CFAnthony Alford10-day IL
  • SSKevin Newman10-day IL
  • CFJason Martin10-day IL

Cleveland Guardians

Status
  • CFDelino DeShieldsRest
  • PJefry Rodriguez45-day IL
S 10 mph
Progressive Field, Cleveland
WindO/U Effect
To CenterVery High on Over
 
Temp (°F)81°82°82°81°
Humidity49%49%52%56%
Precipitation1%1%0%1%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindS 10 mphS 10 mphSSW 11 mphSSW 11 mph
Ramon De Jesus
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+157+144+149+152+155+149+155-
Guardians-171-168-162-162-170-162-162-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+155+146+144+151+145+136+151-
Guardians-165-156-158-162-160-146-146-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Guardians: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 30.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +130 to +123
Guardians ML moved from -160 to -168

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Guardians: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 40.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pirates: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 0.0%
Guardians: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +136 to +130
Guardians ML moved from -156 to -162

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-140+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135-
Guardians-1½+120-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-140+1½-140+1½-145+1½-145+1½-145+1½-140-
Guardians-1½+105-1½+120-1½+122-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-1½+125-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½+100o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-110-
Underu8½-120u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-120o8-110o8½-105o8-115o8-110o8-110o8-110-
Underu8+100u8-110u8½-115u8-105u8-110u8-110u8½-115-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8+100 to u8-110
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