Astros at Pirates

Updated
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
56.2%43.8%
Astros WinPirates Win
3.88Projected Runs 3.22
8Final Score 2
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0
Rank11
R/G4.2
RA/G4.1
Rank25
R/G3.6
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Framber Valdez (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-43.121.064

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
121-73.731.257

Last 5 Games

Houston Astros
Money Line
L 0-3 at Pittsburgh PiratesHOU: Ryan Gusto • PIT: Mike Burrows-121
W 3-0 at Pittsburgh PiratesHOU: Lance McCullers • PIT: Paul Skenes+143
W 0-1 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Taj Bradley • HOU: Hunter Brown-160
L 16-3 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Zack Littell • HOU: Colton Gordon-125
W 1-2 vs Tampa Bay RaysTBR: Ryan Pepiot • HOU: Framber Valdez-146
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Ryan Gusto • PIT: Mike Burrows+115
L 3-0 vs Houston AstrosHOU: Lance McCullers • PIT: Paul Skenes-155
L 4-6 at San Diego PadresPIT: Andrew Heaney • SDP: Randy Vásquez+135
W 5-0 at San Diego PadresPIT: Bailey Falter • SDP: Dylan Cease+195
L 2-3 at San Diego PadresPIT: Mitch Keller • SDP: Nick Pivetta+165

Injuries

Houston Astros

Status
  • DHYordan Alvarez10-day IL
  • LFChas McCormick10-day IL
  • LFZach Dezenzo10-day IL
  • PJ.P. France60-day IL
  • PRonel BlancoOut
  • PHayden WesneskiOut for Season

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • -Colin Holderman15-day IL
  • 2BEnmanuel ValdezOut for Season
  • PJared JonesOut for Season
  • CJoey BartUnknown
NE 4 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)76°75°73°70°
Humidity74%76%82%86%
Precipitation51%60%45%38%
ConditionThunderstormsThunderstormsThunderstormsRain
WindNE 4 mphENE 4 mphNW 10 mphNW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-153-137-144-136-136-136-136-128.5
Pirates+139+127+121+123+126+123+127+128.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-160-140-138-143-144-137-137-128.5
Pirates+141+125+124+128+128+127+128+128.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Astros ML
Pirates ML moved from +128 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Pirates: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Astros: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Astros ML moved from -134 to -143
Pirates ML moved from +130 to +120

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½+105-1½+122-1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-1½+128
Pirates+1½-125+1½-138+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-138+1½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Astros-1½+100-1½+120-1½+122-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+122-1½+128
Pirates+1½-120+1½-140+1½-142+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135+1½-128

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-120o7½+102o7½-105o7-126o7½-105o7-126o7-126o7-115
Underu7½+100u7½-118u7½-115u7+106u7½-115u7+106u7½-115u7+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-105o7½-105o7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7-115
Underu7½-105u7½-115u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-115u7+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-105 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-121 to u7-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-115