Brewers at Reds

Updated

Milwaukee Brewers

(19-11)
Rank5
R/G5.2
RA/G4.4
47.6%52.4%
Brewers WinReds Win
4.21Projected Runs 4.47
7Final Score 2

Cincinnati Reds

(16-15)
Rank19
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3
Rank5
R/G5.2
RA/G4.4
Rank19
R/G4.8
RA/G4.3

Pitching

Wade Miley (LHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Hunter Greene (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
20-02.531.219

Last 5 Games

Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
W 9-5 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Joe Ross • CIN: Frankie Montas+122
L 8-10 at Cincinnati RedsMIL: Aaron Ashby • CIN: Graham Ashcraft-104
W 4-12 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Emerson Hancock • MIL: Colin Rea-130
L 5-3 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Bryce Miller • MIL: DL Hall-115
W 5-6 vs Seattle MarinersSEA: Logan Gilbert • MIL: Freddy Peralta-118
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 9-5 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Joe Ross • CIN: Frankie Montas-124
W 8-10 vs Milwaukee BrewersMIL: Aaron Ashby • CIN: Graham Ashcraft+100
L 3-1 vs New York MetsNYM: Sean Manaea • CIN: Andrew Abbott+108
W 6-9 vs New York MetsNYM: Luis Severino • CIN: Nick Martinez-118
L 3-2 vs New York MetsNYM: José Quintana • CIN: Hunter Greene-126

Injuries

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • CFGarrett Mitchell10-day IL
  • PDevin Williams60-day IL
  • -Taylor Clarke15-day IL
  • PTrevor MegillUnknown
  • PWade Miley15-day IL
  • PJakob Junis15-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • CFT.J. Friedl10-day IL
  • PIan Gibaut15-day IL
  • PNick Lodolo15-day IL
  • PAlex Young15-day IL
  • SSMatt McLain60-day IL
  • PBrandon Williamson15-day IL
  • PSam Moll15-day IL
  • PTejay Antone15-day IL
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+120+123+117+127+124+127+127+131.6
Reds-130-133-140-138-134-138-133-131.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+117+122+127+119+122+129+129+131.6
Reds-128-132-139-134-132-139-132-131.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Brewers ML
Reds ML moved from -124 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brewers: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Brewers: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Brewers: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brewers: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brewers ML moved from +128 to +100
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-170+1½-168+1½-175+1½-165+1½-170+1½-165+1½-165+1½-153
Reds-1½+150-1½+152-1½+150-1½+145-1½+150-1½+145-1½+152-1½+153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brewers+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-153
Reds-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+153

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-108o8½-105o8½-112o8½-110o8½-112o8½-105o8½-102
Underu9-115u8½-108u8½-115u8½-108u8½-110u8½-108u8½-108u8½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-105o8½-115o8½-110o8½-115o8½-115o8½-110o8½-110o8½-102
Underu9-115u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½-105u8½-110u8½-105u8½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u9-120 to u8½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u9½-125 to u8½-125
Athletics at Rangers
Mets at Braves